imho it is a terrific deal IF there was some price protection beyond year 1, AND if your work depended on staying current with the latest, and greatest , AND you are not already invested in non-rental software AND you are always connected to a fast internet connection when you are working. Offline work maybe possible I dont know -- synchronization issues notwithstanding...
The lack of price protection is the nail in the coffin, IMHO.
This is what the Adobe folk (i.e., Julieanne Kost) is saying about the program cost in her Adobe blog:By Julie - 11:11 AM on November 21, 2013 Reply
What is the difference between this offer and the ongoing offer for those of us who own a previous version of CS? I thought the $9.99/mo price was
fixed forever on the offer for those that own a previous version?
By Julieanne Kost - 12:14 PM on November 21, 2013 Reply
The difference is that this is a limited time offer for those who do not have a copy of Photoshop CS3 or newer.
For both offers, Photoshop. $9.99 is *the* price – not a first year promo – so the price won’t go up to $19.99 after a year. All the memberships
carry that disclaimer because we can’t say the price won’t ever go up in the future to account for things like inflation. We also can’t say the price
won’t go down in the future either. For example, Lightroom’s price was cut in half between Lightroom 3 and 4 – and Photoshop’s price has gone
both up and down over its 23 year history.
In the face of this, I can see Adobe increasing the monthly cost to keep up with inflation, but I don't see them making a wholesale, substantial increase.
I tend to agree with the previous comment that Adobe hasn't had as many signups as they wanted, and thus are extending the deal. And, as one person commented above, I suspect that this program may indeed become the new normal for PS & LR licensing cost.
I mentioned in an earlier thread that I was going to bite the bullet and sign up for the program. I have now done so. My reasoning is that I can keep current on LR (when I signed onto the program, I had not yet upgraded from LR4 to LR5) plus acquire the right to use PS (which I did not own - saved me from purchasing a new copy of Elements for edits that can't be done in LR). So yes, the cost is more than simply upgrading LR, but gives me access to PS which I would not otherwise be able to afford.
I recognize that if I want to get off the software rental roller coaster at some point, I will need to at least purchase the then current version of LR plus whatever then makes sense for editing outside LR. I don't know what that cost will be, but can evaluate options at the time. (Of course, if LR is no longer available for purchase, then I am screwed because I won't be able to go back to LR4, which I own).
For those who say that there is no certainty to the cost of the rental program over an extended timeline, I observe that the same is true for the ultimate need to upgrade Adobe programs currently owned (e.g., LR 4 or 5 and PS CS6). At some point, the lack of support for those products will mean that an upgrade will be necessary. In the case of LR, presumably a boxed/download version will still be available (although, as noted above, I recognize that even that is not clear). In the case of PS, as I understand it, if you need to upgrade you will be stuck with signing onto Creative Cloud under whatever conditions Adobe is then imposing. So, in the long run, the rental model may provide more certainty than the "keep using what I own" model.
As some on this forum often say: "Just my 2 cents."