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Messages - David Hull

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Lenses / Re: DXOMark: Sigma 24-105 f/4 DG OS Reviewed
« on: December 17, 2013, 09:02:15 PM »
Yeah, it only undercuts the Canon because DxO still has the 24-105 costing 1250, which is far above its current street price.  It may be a slightly better than Canon's 24-105, but with the Canon version selling at 600-700, the Sigma isn't quite the bargain as when the Canon sold at 1250.

Canon's MSRP for the lens is $1149.

That is somewhat irrelevant since that is not what people are paying for it.  The question would be what is the actual street cost of the two lenses.

EOS Bodies / Re: New EOS-1 in 2014 [CR1]
« on: November 20, 2013, 09:45:32 AM »
Like I said before. Canon's "Answer" to the Nikon D800 (and future D900, and the Sony A7R) will come as a big bulky elephant sized 1D-body, with a price tag that most people can't touch. :D

Oh Canon..

But it will have a fast AF system that actually works ;-)

By the numbers:

  • Nikon reported a 1H-FY13 (Mar-Aug, 2013) drop in y/y unit sales of dSLRs of ↓28.5%
  • Canon reported a 2Q13 and 3Q13 (Apr-Sep, 2013) drops in y/y unit sales of dSLRs of ↓4% and ↓3%, respectively

So for a similar 6-month period, Nikon had an 8-fold greater drop in unit sales compared to Canon.  Nikon's already-lower dSLR market share is dropping fast...

Actually, according to this article, the situation is a bit different:

Canon has sold 23% less cameras than a year earlier, Nikon is down 18.2%, and Sony and Fujifilm are each off about 35%.

I would argue that a year-to-year comparison is more reliable than a quarter-to-quarter one.

The quote you excerpted refers to "cameras" which includes both dSLRs and P&S units.  I'll grant that it's a bit ambiguous in the linked article, and that's either bad writing or quite possibly intentional.   I was referring to dSLRs only, using data from Canon's and Nikon's own quarterly financial presentations.

Also, I compared a 6-month block of time with the same 6-month block from the previous year (which is what y/y means - year-to-year).   I doubt looking at a full year would have made a difference in the trend, and doing so is more difficult because Canon and Nikon use offset fiscal years.  If you'd like to comb through their Investor Relations pages and present full year data for dSLRs, I'd be interested in your findings.

Yes, I agree that it's ambiguous. The point of the article, however, seems to me that it's the steep decline in interchangeable-lens cameras, as opposed to a well known decline of P&S and the likes.

The problem with comparing semesters is that the data can be confused by recent product releases, holidays, festivities, etc. This is why I find more reliable to do such calculations based on a whole year.

I think that the sales of DSLR's has been a bit of a bubble.  The world went digital and sales have tracked the trend of better, faster, cheaper (in some cases) with a lot of people moving into digital.  Now though, the equipment has become "good enough" and the market has become saturated.  Everyone who wants one has one of some sort and now all the manufacturers are doing is servicing a saturated market.  There is nothing that I am really dissatisfied about with my 5DIII and the lenses I have.  I can’t really think of a really compelling feature that they could build into a 5DIV that would make me want to immediately run out and upgrade.  I think there is a lot of that sentiment out there. 

First, it is tough times for any expensive luxury item, so everyone is hurting on sales.  Its sad to see Nikon hurting so much, they seem a bit dysfunctional and keep casting around seemingly at random looking for a winner.
I have a theory about the Df, and its based on Nikon having to commit to a certain volume of sensors purchased from Sony.  In short, Nikon needed to turn their surplus of expensive sensors into cash, and a niche camera that was a high profit item designed for those with plenty of cash and willing to spend it for such a product.  I don't think they ever expected it to be a big seller, just a way to use up extra sensors and make a few bucks doing it.
The Nikon situation only points up Canon's very conservative philosophy of mass production at a low cost, so that they not only make more profit per unit, but when times are tough, they can cut the price drastically to grab market share and still show a respectable profit.  You do not do this by spending truck loads of money developing, tooling, stocking, and advertising niche models.
 Canon is hanging on to their cash and cutting prices to increase sales of existing products and only turning out new or updated products to meet some specific internally defined goals.  That's why we see the big profit difference.  It has little to do with a product being the best of the best and everything to do with giving priority to designing products that can be made and sold for a profit even if the price must be cut way back.  Its not something that happens overnight, Canon has done this for the last 60 years.  Every cent that goes into a product is questioned and squeezed out if it is not deemed to be worth much more than a penny in ROI.
You may be on to something here.

not to worry, the Df will turn that all around for them

sarcasm? :)

But the bad news doesn’t stop there, it continues to roll with rumors of lackluster Df pre-sales published by Nikon Rumors. NR claims that unofficial info from several retailers has Df demand “not even close” to what D800 demand was when it came out.
To substantiate that claim, NR points out that the Df isn’t even in the top 20 best-selling DSLRs on Amazon, while the D610 (not exactly the most popular release Nikon has ever had, given all of the pissed off D600 users) is up at number 14.


This is not surprising IMO.  The D800 satisfied a pent up demand for a High MP camera among Nikonians who had been riding the low res train for a long time.  I think a lot of them would have been happier with something a bit lower like 25MP, but just the same it got them way past 12 MP.  What "problem" does the Df solve?

EOS Bodies - For Stills / Re: Dynamic range Nikon/Sony vs Canon
« on: November 08, 2013, 06:36:33 PM »
Besides, he's taken his fight to DPR:  http://www.dpreview.com/forums/post/52443217

 ;D   ;D

Well spotted, that is hilarious.

But what is even more funny is that if you read the replies on his thread he got no sympathy at all from the dpreview crowd !  ;D

He is pretty well known over there as well.

EOS Bodies - For Stills / Re: Dynamic range Nikon/Sony vs Canon
« on: November 08, 2013, 04:05:23 PM »
Besides, he's taken his fight to DPR:  http://www.dpreview.com/forums/post/52443217

EOS Bodies - For Stills / Re: Where is the Canon 7D successor?
« on: October 08, 2013, 10:19:38 PM »
No print button -- serious deal breaker for me.

Pricewatch Deals / Re: Mail-in & Instant Rebates
« on: October 03, 2013, 01:08:25 AM »
What is with the "mail in" rebate crap?  What happened to the instant rebates?  Now we will be back to jacking people around over the rebates -- mail in is a PITA (should be outlawed actually).

So.... let's say you had a Nikon Camera (like a D800 for example) what sensor would you want to exchange it with?  I don't get the benefit Nikon is using the best sensors made.

Lenses / Re: Canon Lens Rebates
« on: September 29, 2013, 06:24:19 PM »
Why "Mail In" rebates?  That is a huge step backwards for Canon who had been offering "Instant Rebates".  It would be interesting to see if they are offering larger rebates under the mail in plan.  Canon was notoriously poor in servicing their mail in rebates, plus you had to cut up your boxes.

Speedlites, Printers, Accessories / Re: ST-E3 Overheating?
« on: September 28, 2013, 12:56:12 AM »
People should keep in mind that this equipment operates in the 2405 MHz-2475 MHz microwave band, the same place where a lot of other stuff operates including, all sorts of wireless devices as well as the worst offender for RFI which is the old trusty microwave oven. 

This thread got my curiosity up and I put one of my 600EX-RT's in the kitchen about ten feet from my microwave oven, and fired my ST-E3 in the living room (about 15 FT from the flash).  The result is that it works fine with the microwave off but cannot communicate when the microwave is on -- link lite went out and everything.  I have noticed in the past that when my wife runs the microwave my Apple TV and Laptop also loose wireless communication so upon seeing this thread, I thought I'd try the Canon flashes -- yep, sure enough the pesky microwave fouls them up as well.

Perusing the ST-E3 manual, it looks like the Canon system is using the same sort of signaling as IEEE 802.11 b/g (Direct Sequence Spread Spectrum, Offset QPSK) in the 2.4 GHz wireless band.

Like some of the others here, I would put my money on RFI rather than the ST-E3 overheating (I have used mine a lot and never seen an overheat issue).  I think my kitchen microwave is worse than some others, one of my work buddies when hearing my story was surprised since he said he never had issues running his laptop near his.

People with Canon Radio systems should run some experiments.  I gaffer taped my iPhone 5 to the same 600EX-RT and didn't have an issue.  It seems to fire nicely when located right next to my router as well.  So maybe it needs something real strong like a microwave oven to wipe it out.  It may be worth some testing for those who are interested in such things.

EOS Bodies / Re: New EOS M This Week? [CR1]
« on: September 16, 2013, 07:00:45 PM »
I think they should give one away with each purchase of that lens :-)

Pricewatch Deals / Re: Boo Amazon!!!
« on: September 06, 2013, 10:25:36 PM »
Get used to it.  They did this in CA already and keep your eyes open because not everything gets taxed (here anyway).  You will not pay tax if they ship it from one of their other warehouses associated vendors.  But if tax is a problem for you, just buy from B&H.  The advantage of Amazon is no Jewish Holiday closures and ultra fast shipping.

FWIW:  I got this back from Adobe when trying to pin them down as to whether this was a temporary, introductory offer or not:

Adobe Photoshop wrote: "This current offer of $9.99 for existing customers ends Dec 31st. There may be other offers in the future. As of right now, there are no plans to have this package available after Dec 31st."

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