« on: November 08, 2014, 11:37:45 AM »
I just look at the 100-400 now that is ages old and $1600. While of course there will be a new premium on the new version....I'm not seeing Canon go up 40% - 100%. Original 7D $1500. New 7D2 $1800. 20% premium. So I'm guessing $1999-$2200 (high side being where the 70-200 is now) I think making these same priced where one gets you constant aperture while the other gets you longer focal range is a good trade.
I suspect your prices are wishful thinking.
Take a look at prices for the 1+ year old Nikon 80-400mm lens, and then add $300.
Your figuring would be correct a few years ago but now we have the Tamron 160-600 (which BTW is very good up to 500mm) and two Sigmas arriving before the Canon.
No, Canon will have to factor down their pricing expectations on this one for sales to get some early traction.