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Messages - moreorless

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EOS Bodies / Re: Patent: EF-M 22-46mm f/3.5-5.6
« on: April 14, 2014, 03:29:59 AM »
Almost certainly some kind of collapsible pancake but those specs seem pretty limited even for that, perhaps an ultra small lens or maybe just a test of the tech?

Not really sure why this would point towards a US release as it seems well suited for the existing very small bodies that sell better in the far east. Ultimately the US mirrorless market is pretty tiny compared to Japan and elsewhere so I'm not seeing that any money spent on it means Canon will return.

My guess would be when/if Canon relaunch the M system it the US it'll be with a higher end body with a viewfinder. I think its pretty clear that what profit there is to be made from mirrorless in the US mainly comes from higher end bodies, look at the amazon mirrorless sales charts and there right up the top.

Personally I think Canon would be well served by a good but not too premium mirrorless body, use the 70D sensor, add an EVF, a small grip and a few more controls without it costing the earth and I think there lens lineup with put them in a strong position. Other systems might have more depth but for core lenses that are optically strong but still affordable the EOS M system seems to have an advantage to me, add in a short macro and a tele zoom of a similar standard and I think you'd got it covered for many people.

EOS Bodies / Re: DP Review's 10 most popular camera list
« on: April 11, 2014, 08:12:05 AM »
Ultimately chasing the techno/gadget geek dollar is IMHO not a very profitable market, generally new features are demanded and your product will only have a short lifespan when its "hot" before the next release steals its thunder.

EOS Bodies / Re: Canon EOS sensors, and technology
« on: April 10, 2014, 03:57:28 PM »
Whilst removing an AA filter(depending obviously on how strong that filter was) can aid sharpness a little(with certain trade offs) I think the lack of one became a bit of an easy way for people to explain the superior performance of MF digital.

Just pointing to a lack of an AA filter as some kind of magic bullet(especially when all mainstream 35mm and smaller sensors had one) was a lot easier than going into the indepth reasons of why a larger format will generally offer better performance even if the number of MP's on the sensor are similar, most obviously that lenses won't be pushed anywhere near as hard.

Third Party Manufacturers / Re: Fuji Full Frame X-PRO2 coming 2015
« on: April 09, 2014, 02:14:48 PM »
Wont happen. Fuji barely built up its X lens lineup, so they wont start a new one that soon. I was told by a Fuji rep. that they barely break even with the Xpro line right now, and that FF Xtrans sensors cost nearly the same as the whole rest of the camera. An X200 with larger sensor is much more possible.

That why I sold my x100s and went with A7r, FF sensor. Fuji came out great crop body size, about same size as 4/3 sensor . And now, Sony came out A7 series. The camera body size is about same as Fuji x1.6 crop & OM-D E-M5 4/3. To survice, Fuji needs to respond ASAP. Mirrorless market is not that big - at least not yet.   

To me, the #1 reason people going for mirrorless is size and weight. Mirrorless system doesn't need a complete lens system as DSLR - UWA, 35 to 85mm and macro - done. No need 24-70 f2.8, 70-200 f2.8, 300mm, 400mm etc...

That becomes a question of how large a market there actually is for such a system I'd say, FF is already a minority market but I think high performance zooms make up much more of that market than on ASPC, plus of course even primes can get pretty large.

The potential weakness I see with the Sony FE system is that  there looking to create the kind of system that likely needs DSLR like sales to turn a profit yet performance wise in many respects its clearly behind FF. The FF market generally is much less forgiving of weaknesses IMHO, generally people need a reason to move beyond ASPC and to get them to do so you need to exploit the advantages of the larger format well.

If Fuji do release a FF sensor camera I do think it would make sense to target it even more tightly than the ASPC X-series. A FF X200 still seems the most likely to be as that would cost a good deal less than a whole system, plus having a fixed lens on FF seems to help with size saving a lot(just look at the RX1 lens size/performace vs the 35mm 2.8 FE lens). Other than that I do think a handful of high quality primes would be the way to go, something like a 50mm f/1.4, 35mm f/2, 24mm f/2, 85mm f/1.8

Third Party Manufacturers / Re: Sigma 50mm f/1.4 Art Gets Reviewed
« on: April 07, 2014, 01:00:58 PM »
The problem with a long Samyang macro would I'd say be that your getting into inspect shooting range there where many people use AF for rapid respose rather than MF for your standard flow/fungi macro.

Third Party Manufacturers / Re: Sigma 50mm f/1.4 Art Gets Reviewed
« on: April 07, 2014, 12:47:57 PM »
Love how Sigma is pushing it. Next up must be a 85mm and then maybe a 24-70 2.8?

Rumor has it that it is a  24-70 f2 in the pipeline.

That would be a rather different market to the art line up so far I'd say, they might not be small but they are small/cheap enough for the average user where as a 24-70mm f/2 would be a beast of a lens. If they do release an F/2 zoom maybe it'll follow the 18-35mm F/1.8 and have a more limited range, something like 35-70mm or 28-55mm f/2.

I don't see as much need for an 85mm Art in the short term personally as not only is Sigma's existing 85mm 1.4 an excellent lens but so are Canon and Nijkon's various 85mm's, especially the Nikon 85mm 1.8 G for the price.

My guess would be a 24mm 1.4 maybe next for Sigma, again theres a lot of room there to undercut Canon and Nikon significantly plus there own 24mm 1.8 isn't a great performer besides its closeup ability.

Third Party Manufacturers / Re: New Curved Sensor Tech by Sony
« on: April 04, 2014, 11:51:38 AM »
Time for a digital widelux? ;)

EOS Bodies / Re: New Full Frame Camera in 2014? [CR1]
« on: March 26, 2014, 09:13:21 PM »
I think the A7r really shows again that resolution sells best when its relatively cheap, the same with the D800 and the 5D2 before it. The biggest part of the market here is I'd say amateur landscape shooters but even pro's potentially moving from MF are often doing so due to price.

In Sony's case I think you can argue that the price for the whole system isn't actually that low given that the lenses seem rather overpriced(especially the 35mm F/2.8 which seems like it should be a £200 lens not a £750 one) but if your adapting Canon that's obviously not an issue.

If the new Sigma is fantastic and priced well, it might put a dent in Canon's 50 f/1.4 sales and finally put pressure on them to update the lens.  If it comes in around $1,000 (and again, is fantastic), it will probably eat the 50L sales and then we'll likely see a new 50L while they keep churning out yet more 50 f/1.4s.

The size of the Sigma for me makes it seem likely it'll be aiming for a very different market to the 50mm 1.4/1.8's from Canon and Nikon which get alot of sale based on their size and extreme cheapness.

The 50mm 1.2 and the new Nikon 58mm 1.4 might suffer a bit more but only if the Sigma offers similar rendering rather than just more sharpness.

EOS Bodies / Re: Canon's Medium Format
« on: March 17, 2014, 08:45:57 AM »
The big market for high end gear is not pro photographers, it is wealthy enthusiasts, just look at the "limited edition" Leica market.

Not that I think a Canon MF speculation has legs, I don't believe it does, whereas the Cinema range has an expanding market and they can have leveraged the EF lens tech very well , I was just pointing out the faulty logic of linking gear price to pro use.

Which would be an argument in favour of mirrorless I'd say, the problem Hassleblad have had and the reason for the Sony rebadging is I'd say that there cameras are simply too large to have much appeal to rich amateurs.

EOS Bodies / Re: Canon's Medium Format
« on: March 12, 2014, 03:18:57 AM »
Honestly I think a mirrorless body makes more sense for MF than it does for 35mm.

You look at a modern 35mm sized SLR(either in the latter days or film or digital) and honestly does the mirror really make it much bigger than it needs to be? the need for controls and a good sized grip do IMHO mean that most users aren't going to want something tiny.You look at MF SLR's on the other hand and to me size seems to increase beyond the ideal as the mirror box starts to become much larger than the grip and theres more space than it really needed for controls. I don't think its a coincidence that in the days of film rangefinder designs were a larger part of the MF market than they were the 35mm market.

The user expectations likely differ as well if you ask me, your typical 35mm/FF user is going to want fast zooms and fast AF, your typical MF user is more likely to put up with slower zooms or primes and not demand as much from his AF.

EOS Bodies / Re: 100D/SL1 Discontinued already??
« on: March 12, 2014, 03:05:47 AM »
This is the second time in the last week or so that I've seen people point out that Digitalrev puts the "discontinued" label on things. As far as I'm concerned it's more likely to be a labelling or translation error than anything.

Its more a case of digitalrev being unable/willing to stock items I'd guess and wanting to give the impression nobody else will stock them either rather than losing business.

EOS Bodies / Re: UPDATE: EOS M2 Not Coming to North America
« on: March 04, 2014, 07:23:59 AM »
Yes Canon is very sucessfull and know what they are doing. Thats why they dominate. Why would they come out with a really good mirrorless and I know they have the technology already. It will canabilize their sales on the DSLR market specially the Rebels.

Why? Because otherwise Sony, Fujifilm, Panasonic, Olympus and all others will cannibalize their Rebels and all of their other DSLRs with the possible exception of action-oiented models (1D-X)?  ;D

They haven't so far and growth in mirrorless in at least two major markets has reversed.

That's not to say that there's no future for mirrorless, nor that mirrorless isn't the future, just that it doesn't seem to be the present. Why would Canon and Nikon risk undermining their supremacy by bringing out 'pro' mirrorless cameras? Isn't that effectively endorsing their competitors' efforts? If Canon and Nikon dump their legacy mounts, what competitive advantage do they have over the likes of Sony or Fujifilm?

I think that's the crux of Canon's current dilemma. They didn't want to rock the boat by developing mirrorless, but evidently elements in their hierarchy felt the need to enter what was a growing market (hence EOS-M and Nikon 1). Now that the growth has died, so has Canon and Nikon's enthusiasm for their mirrorless systems.

Who knows how this will end up, maybe EOS-M will develop into a fully fledged system (especially if there is room for a full frame sensor in the specification), or the EF mount may start to evolve towards going mirrorless. I suspect that this isn't fully decided at Canon and will depend on what happens in the market this year.

Personally my feeling is that reduced flange distance on FF is simply much less of an advantage than on ASPC since your having to deal both with larger lenses for a larger image circle and long lenses to avoid more extreme light angles.

I think its notable that both Canon and Nikon have put most of their focus on FF devolpment over the last couple of years, more levels of body on offer and a lot of new lenses on offer whilst EF-S/DX lenses have been limted mostly to kit updates.

To me it looks like theres a real divide in the mirrorless market between east and west, in the former ultra small view finderless bodies make up most of the sales, in the latter theres a much smaller market focused on higher end bodies with viewfinders. My guess is if Canon come up with a higher end ASPC body then it will be released in the west.

Third Party Manufacturers / Re: New Pentax 645d ii is coming next week
« on: February 06, 2014, 09:30:21 AM »
The Phase One was pretty dam expensive($35K wasn't it?) so it'll be interesting to see what this Pentax comes in at.

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