prediction - many will buy this out of the gate, then there will will be plenty of used ones available once they've actually taken it out and used it.
From your earlier post, I think I see where you're coming from. I guess it depends on one's motive for buying a lens in the first place. It's easy to be seduced by the reputation of a lens without first thinking about one's need for it. For example, I'd love to have a 135mm L but I know I'd hardly ever use it. Nikon's 14-24mm is almost legendary, which enhances its desirability but not its usefulness.
For most users, 14-24mm is not a general-use focal range. As long as buyers recognise that this lens will be one to pull out of the bag when needed rather than to remain mounted as a general-use zoom, they won't be buying with their eyes shut. $3,000 is a lot to pay for something that just weighs down your bag.