Look at the progression, what makes you think it will stop?
UWA
20-35mm f2.8 (1989) -> 17-35mm f2.8 (1996) -> 16-35 f2.8 (2001)
Normal
28-80mm f2.8-4 (1989) -> 28-70mm f2.8 (1993) -> 24-70mm f2.8 (2002)
Tele
80-200mm f2.8 (1989) -> 70-200mm f2.8 (1995)
Allow me to update your progressions so they are current:
UWA
20-35mm f2.8 (1989) -> 17-35mm f2.8 (1996) -> 16-35 f2.8 (2001) ->
16-35mm f/2.8 MkII (2007)
Normal
28-80mm f2.8-4 (1989) -> 28-70mm f2.8 (1993) -> 24-70mm f2.8 (2002) -> ?
Tele
80-200mm f2.8 (1989) -> 70-200mm f2.8 (1995) ->
70-200mm f/2.8 IS (2001) ->
70-200mm f/2.8 IS MkII (2010)
So, as you can see from the above, in two of three classes the progression
has stopped, and the remaining class of 'normal' zooms has three entries compared to four in the UWA and tele classes.
So, given that trend, and granted the n is low, the logical extrapolation is that the next normal zoom will remain a 24-70mm, with improvements in the optics, the addition of IS, or both, but no change in focal range.
Lets say we were to frame at 70mm, would we choose the 24-70mm or the 70-200mm ? And why?
Personally, I'd choose the 70-200mm f/2.8L IS II over the 24-70mm f/2.8L for that shot at 70mm. Why? Three reasons - first, the IQ is better, second, if the shutter speed is marginal then IS might help get the shot, and third, I don't have a 24-70mm f/2.8L...
