So, your argument is what, then... there's no innovation left? dSLRs are dead?
not for us enthusiast and pros.
but there will be diminishing returns we will have to face.
who really needs 80MP cameras? only a very small percentage.
and of course there will be some pixelpeeper who even buy a gigapixel camera.
DR can be improved and that´s something i like to see.
but most consumers don´t care much about DR.
it´s again the enthusiast and pros who are interested in better DR.
but i guess the low end is pretty much dead in a few years, yes.
And do you really want to argue that some markets can't grow forever?
yes. history proves me right.
smartphones are pretty new... they will see their decline too.
at some point there will be a new technology replacing traditional smartphones.
and i think you can not really compare communication technology to cameras.
we all have an urge and need to communicate.. but not everyone is a photographer.
and apple is a status symbol for some.. as crazy as that sounds.
it´s not rational. they feel bad when they don´t have the latest and their colleagues have.
it reminds me a bit on the 80s when i was in school.. some kids where "hip" because of their trainers....
wow...so the automobile must be dead too because there have been no earth shattering upgrades in decades!!!!
just because we've hit diminishing returns that doesn't mean people won't buy, it's just buying on a different schedule. I mean, is there anything reallly oh god ground breaking between that 2002 toyota corrola and the 20010 toyota corrolla you just bought? A few bells and whisltles, but, its the same size, handles the same, ohh..the old one was blue tand this one is green...did you trade in that 2002 corrolla because oh my, i need that reverse camera? or, was it because the 2002 needed a new exhaust system, and the suspension was shot, and the check engine light was on, and it was topping 175,000 miles....
When tech is in a growth mode, yes, we see lots more sales because each new product cycle does have a more tangible benefit ---but, what's more to do other than marginal upgrades? Hell, I'd even take that ...screw sensor design, lets find a way to increase the sync speed for FF shutters....I'd love that, it would rock, but is it revolutionary? No, it's a marginal upgrade.
the car example is just one of what we see and use and buy regularly ---- LOL --- by the logic of it must revolutionize or the market dies...it's true, yeah (sarcasm), this is why hammer sales are down, I mean, when was the last revolutionary upgrade to the hammer!
As another poster stated --- the dslr market has matured, and that means we are now gonna be buying stuff because we need it more than because oh my it's got all these bells and whistles...AKA, my body is hitting the edge the shutter's lifespan, gee, maybe it's now worth it to just have a new shutter installed?
? Is that really such a bad thing that maybe we can find ourselves with less disposable tech?