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Author Topic: Consumer DSLRs "dead in 5 years"  (Read 21496 times)

dilbert

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Consumer DSLRs "dead in 5 years"
« on: October 27, 2013, 11:31:20 AM »
The Sony A7 is a nail in the coffin of Canon’s full frame line-up but it’s consumer apathy which will finally close the lid.

http://www.eoshd.com/content/11409/consumer-dslrs-dead-5-years
« Last Edit: October 27, 2013, 06:03:02 PM by dilbert »

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Consumer DSLRs "dead in 5 years"
« on: October 27, 2013, 11:31:20 AM »

J.R.

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2013, 12:03:44 PM »
Isn't it great how people like to play Nostradamus. Great Article.

I guess everyone has shorted Canon &  Nikon stocks by now and purchased a bagful of Sony shares after reading this article.  After all what do these billion dollar companies know.
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Ruined

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2013, 12:14:31 PM »
Humorous article.

More likely, mirrorless will be dead in 5 years as their consumer portable market appeal is totally eclipsed by the even higher quality successors of cameraphones like the Lumia 1020.

Meanwhile, the pros who won't accept quality/functionality loss for smaller size - something all mirrorless including the A7 suffer from - will continue to use DSLR.  We all heard this same dire prediction when mirrorless first came out, now we are hearing it again with mirrorless full frame out - which btw has no size advantage like crop mirrorless due to the lenses being much too large for the tiny body.  In fact I am not sure what mirrorless full frame brings to the table except novelty - "look how tiny my camera is without a lens!"  then put on a zoom lens and it becomes a pain to handle.

If you don't believe me, simply look at the sales trends, mirrorless is selling poorly and suffering worse than DSLR.
« Last Edit: October 27, 2013, 12:17:23 PM by Ruined »

Click

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2013, 12:16:55 PM »
I agree with you Ruined.

Lichtgestalt

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2013, 01:26:03 PM »
well if the trolls and whiners are in smartphone forums then... i am all for it!!   :P


Quote
Christopher Chute from market intelligence firm IDC predicts Nikon may be out of business in 5 years if the trend continues.
 
“You’re talking about a 10-15% decline in DSLR shipments all over the world. Which is kind of shocking because that market’s been growing double digits for almost ten years. Nikon recently said they have a five year plan to address this. And my view is, that five year plan should have come out five years ago. They’re not going to be around in five years.”


nah... that will take 6 years.
« Last Edit: October 27, 2013, 01:30:25 PM by Lichtgestalt »

Mt Spokane Photography

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2013, 02:24:36 PM »
Mirrorless cameras are dying, if you believe in the facts.  Sales of mirrorless cameras have been dropping like a rock.  DSLR sales are dropping back as well, but not as fast as Mirrorless.
 
This is why Nikon has announced its intentions to concentrate more on DSLR's. 

RGF

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2013, 03:06:43 PM »
Agree that the economy is hurting dSLR sales.   Perhaps smartphones have a minor impact but in the end they may actually help dSLRs.   Smartphones are too limited - consumers will eventually get tired of wide angle snaps, they will hunger for more. 

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2013, 03:06:43 PM »

neuroanatomist

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2013, 03:20:14 PM »
More punditry from the peanut gallery.

Memory lane time: 2008 predictions included that the dSLR would be killed by MILC in five years...and that dSLR video spelled the end of the camcorder.  (Obviously, these pundits don't compare notes before issuing proclamations.)

Paging AvTvM, this thread is just begging for you to tell us how this is more justly-deserved punishment for CaNikon.  ::)
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Lichtgestalt

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2013, 03:22:38 PM »
More punditry from the peanut gallery.

Memory lane time: 2008 predictions included that the dSLR would be killed by MILC in five years...and that dSLR video spelled the end of the camcorder.  (Obviously, these pundits don't compare notes before issuing proclamations.)

Paging AvTvM, this thread is just begging for you to tell us how this is more justly-deserved punishment for CaNikon.  ::)

+1 was just thinking the same.

and by the way... where is ankorwats second identity?
he should be attracted by such threads too.


iam2nd

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2013, 04:17:32 PM »
The keyword in the article is "consumer" SLRs.  Smart phones have certainly had an negative impact on SLR sales, because the need your average mom or family with kids to take and (now) share photos of the kids or that vacation is satisfied with a camera phone.

But this isn't like flash drives replacing floppy disks.  There would have to be some amazing piece of convenient, useful, flexible smartphone technology to replace the SLR for pros and enthusiasts.

Mt Spokane Photography

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2013, 04:25:07 PM »
The keyword in the article is "consumer" SLRs.  Smart phones have certainly had an negative impact on SLR sales, because the need your average mom or family with kids to take and (now) share photos of the kids or that vacation is satisfied with a camera phone.

But this isn't like flash drives replacing floppy disks.  There would have to be some amazing piece of convenient, useful, flexible smartphone technology to replace the SLR for pros and enthusiasts.

Smart phones have had no virtually impact on SLR sales, but have decimated point and shoot, sales.  Until very recently DSLR sales have been rising sharply while point and shoot sales have dropped 50%.  This is while Smart Phone sales took off.
 
The slow DSLR sales figures are due to the poor economic climate.
 
You can check the month by month sales figures for P&S, Mirrorless, and DSLR's and see the data.  (Mirrorless figures have only been broken out for a short time).

iam2nd

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2013, 04:37:41 PM »
Smart phones have had no virtually impact on SLR sales, but have decimated point and shoot, sales.  Until very recently DSLR sales have been rising sharply while point and shoot sales have dropped 50%.  This is while Smart Phone sales took off.
 
The slow DSLR sales figures are due to the poor economic climate.
 
You can check the month by month sales figures for P&S, Mirrorless, and DSLR's and see the data.  (Mirrorless figures have only been broken out for a short time).

Thanks for the point of correction.  What do you think about the statement in the article regarding compact (P&S?) cameras?  "In my opinion this market is defunct and will vanish entirely within 10 years."

Dylan777

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2013, 04:54:22 PM »
For still shooting, I prefer FF mirrorless - less weight

Tracking moving subject - DSLR still the best

Let enjoy the best from both worlds ;)
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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2013, 04:54:22 PM »

Chuck Alaimo

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2013, 04:59:23 PM »
The Sony A7 is a nail in the coffin of Canon’s full frame line-up but it’s consumer apathy which will finally close the lid.

http://www.eoshd.com/content/11409/consumer-dslrs-dead-5-years


ahhhh...I remember betamax, and laser disks....ahhhhh...great formats right....
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Lichtgestalt

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2013, 05:26:37 PM »
The Sony A7 is a nail in the coffin of Canon’s full frame line-up but it’s consumer apathy which will finally close the lid.

http://www.eoshd.com/content/11409/consumer-dslrs-dead-5-years


ahhhh...I remember betamax, and laser disks....ahhhhh...great formats right....


the best in their times.
but that doesn´t mean much...

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Re: Consumer DSLRs “dead in 5 years”
« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2013, 05:26:37 PM »