September 02, 2014, 07:42:48 AM

Poll

Today at B&H it is US$ 999.95. How much do you think it will cost in 1 year's time?

Still over US$900
3 (42.9%)
Between US$850 and US$900
1 (14.3%)
Between US$800 and US$850
0 (0%)
Between US$700 and US$800
0 (0%)
Between US$500 and US$700
0 (0%)
Less than US$500
3 (42.9%)

Total Members Voted: 7

Author Topic: Lexar 256GB Professional 1066x Compact Flash Memory Card (UDMA 7)  (Read 1152 times)

expatinasia

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As I have just bought myself a new CF card, I was surprised to see they now have 256GB 1066X cards! Just for a bit of fun, how much do you think the price will drop over the period of a year?

The Lexar 64GB Professional 1066x Compact Flash Memory Card (UDMA 7) is US$263.66 at the moment, but normally newer tech such as the 256GB carries a premium when it launches.

What do you think?
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Drizzt321

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Re: Lexar 256GB Professional 1066x Compact Flash Memory Card (UDMA 7)
« Reply #1 on: March 14, 2014, 07:33:26 PM »
This is likely using smaller sized NAND, possibly even TLC NAND and those are all fairly new. Might drop a bit over the next year, but probably not significantly. We probably won't see a 512MB card for 1 1/2 to 2 years is my guess, and by that time we'll all want them in CFast cards since the new top end cameras are going to start to have that interface. That's all speculation on my side, but at that top end of capacity, you need to go through another whole generation of NAND shrinkage before they really can boost that capacity any further, and it's starting to slow down a bit as they get down to smaller and smaller processes. They're actually basically at the leading edge of node size, and as they get smaller and smaller there are more and more concerns with longevity and read accuracy.
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fatmanmedi

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Re: Lexar 256GB Professional 1066x Compact Flash Memory Card (UDMA 7)
« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2014, 09:01:08 PM »
This is likely using smaller sized NAND, possibly even TLC NAND and those are all fairly new. Might drop a bit over the next year, but probably not significantly. We probably won't see a 512MB card for 1 1/2 to 2 years is my guess, and by that time we'll all want them in CFast cards since the new top end cameras are going to start to have that interface. That's all speculation on my side, but at that top end of capacity, you need to go through another whole generation of NAND shrinkage before they really can boost that capacity any further, and it's starting to slow down a bit as they get down to smaller and smaller processes. They're actually basically at the leading edge of node size, and as they get smaller and smaller there are more and more concerns with longevity and read accuracy.

i think 512GB cards will be here by the end of the year, but i don't know if they will stay with CF interface as it seems that they are coming to the end of what the format will cope with, i know they are talking about the XQD format but my money is on the future of SD.

Fats

Drizzt321

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Re: Lexar 256GB Professional 1066x Compact Flash Memory Card (UDMA 7)
« Reply #3 on: March 14, 2014, 10:15:24 PM »
i think 512GB cards will be here by the end of the year, but i don't know if they will stay with CF interface as it seems that they are coming to the end of what the format will cope with, i know they are talking about the XQD format but my money is on the future of SD.

Fats

Perhaps they will be here, but they didn't go ahead and create XQD or CFast (CF replacement from same standards group) on a whim. SD cards just won't cut it, especially for top end photography that needs high write speeds to keep up with the high burst rates. Think sports & action photographers and the like. They need cards that can quickly clear the buffers of their 10+fps cameras. I highly doubt SD cards will ever become the standard format on the top tier (I'm including 5d3 level in here as well, possibly 7D replacement as well) cameras.
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expatinasia

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Re: Lexar 256GB Professional 1066x Compact Flash Memory Card (UDMA 7)
« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2014, 08:57:48 AM »
Woah, 512 GB cards! Do we even need that much? At a busy sporting event I can easily take 2-3,000 pics a day - even more sometimes - but they all get downloaded and deleted from the CF card pretty promptly. Nothing gets stored on the CF card at all and each day starts fresh.

Do we need such high capacity? And if a 256GB 1066X card costs US$ 999 how much is a 512 GB card going to cost?

Wow! I found one of my old 48MB CF cards the other day, and am pretty sure that was quite high capacity at one stage!!  :o

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Re: Lexar 256GB Professional 1066x Compact Flash Memory Card (UDMA 7)
« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2014, 08:57:48 AM »