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Author Topic: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]  (Read 27313 times)

nicku

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #105 on: May 02, 2012, 05:59:52 AM »
More realistic will be a 7D mk2 with a APS-H sensor and 20-24 MP ( to compete with Nikon budget ff body and preserve the wildlife capabilities and extra reach reputation of the actual 7D).... move a little bit up the new 70D to compete with Nikon d300S replacement.

An APS-H 7D is a nice idea, but the big problem is that it would lack wide-angle coverage (21mm equivalent with a 16-35 and no EF-S). Manufacturing an APS-H body to compete directly with a Nikon FF body would likely lose Canon a lot of market share for this very reason.

Recent 5D mk II customers no doubt include lots of landscape/nature/architecture photographers who want full frame coverage and good IQ at a reasonable price but don't really mind the 5D II's ancient AF system. There's no reason why they would buy a 1.3x crop and lose critically important wide-angle coverage, so the new Nikon FF would be the logical upgrade path for them.

The last 7D MkII rumor on the front page of this website was that there will be no 7D Mk II.... so...

I will give you a very simple example:  one car manufacturer make a car that is predicted to sell in say... 200.000 exemplars... huge success ..... and they sell 600.000... they will interrupt the current model and they will not came out with a new generation?????

Same with 7D HUGE success ..... is not logical to interrupt the model. Maybe will be FF maybe APS-H or APS-C but 7Dmk2 will be released.

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #105 on: May 02, 2012, 05:59:52 AM »

moreorless

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #106 on: May 02, 2012, 07:11:43 AM »
I'v not seen it disucssed much recently but might one alternative be that Canon are looking to release a Foveon like sensor for the high resolution market? there was some talk about a pantent last year if I remmeber correct.

That would seem to explain a few things I'd say. If Canon tested and then ditched the idea of a high MP conventional bayer sensor in the last 2-3 years then its easy to see them failing somewhat behind Sony in the resolution stakes. Equally I'd say it would explain the 5D3 specs given multi leyaer sensors problems with video.

K-amps

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #107 on: May 02, 2012, 07:20:42 AM »
I'v not seen it disucssed much recently but might one alternative be that Canon are looking to release a Foveon like sensor for the high resolution market? there was some talk about a pantent last year if I remmeber correct.

That would seem to explain a few things I'd say. If Canon tested and then ditched the idea of a high MP conventional bayer sensor in the last 2-3 years then its easy to see them failing somewhat behind Sony in the resolution stakes. Equally I'd say it would explain the 5D3 specs given multi leyaer sensors problems with video.

wouldnt a lot of still photographers buy a good sensor even if it did not have video?
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elflord

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #108 on: May 02, 2012, 07:26:53 AM »
For those who don't want to pay a premium for full frame, why not be thankful that good APS-C bodies are cheap instead of complaining that full frame bodies are expensive ?

I'd be fine with aps-c for the time being, but unfortunately aps-c is no equivalent alternative because the eos ecosystem is more geared toward ff - historically and marketing-wise. A lot of aps-c users who are ok with their sensor but want more sharpness or better lens build use ef lenses. While it is a strange side effect that ef lenses have an extended reach on aps-c, you can only use their full potential of on ff.

I find this a little perplexing because I agree that it's probably true for wide angle lenses, but it seems you only own tele lenses ? What is the extra potential you get from projecting your image onto a larger sensor with a tele ? If canon's long teles are capable of projecting an image onto a larger sensor still, does that mean that full frame doesn't use the lenses to their full potential either ?

Quote
Sensor technology hasn't changed substantially -- the 5DMkII sensor still costs much more to manufacture and is still worth much more (and performs vastly better than) a current crop sensor.

Well, it hasn't changed for Canon - that's what many people are complaining about :-p ...

No, hasn't changed period. Compare the SNR graph at DxO with any full frame model with the same for any APS-C mode.

Quote
but real question: How do you know ff the gap between ff and aps-c sensor manufacturing cost is as large as in the last years?

I don't know if the gap is as large. I do know that we don't have some Moore's law effect where sensors are improving performance along a sustained exponential curve. Many of the people who assume costs should be plummeting appeal to some kind of "Moore's law for cameras" but there is no empirical evidence to validate this.

But also, as I pointed out, manufacturing costs are largely beside the point (or at least only to the point to the extent to which they affect supply and demand).

The law of supply and demand states that if there's something that everyone wants that is in limited supply, it will cost you. If you're willing to buy the thing that is not especially rare, that most of the potential buyers have already bought, and some current owners are trying to get rid of, you can invariably get it cheaply regardless of how much it cost to manufacture (I suppose the 5DC probably  cost more in real terms to manufacture than the 5DIII)

No matter how badly you might wish for it, you are not going to be able to get the latest and greatest toy with all the best and newest features for the same price as the old thing that nobody wants anymore. If the price on an item drops, it is always because the item has lost some of its shine, and at that point the complainers don't want it any more as they have found something newer and shinier to complain about.

« Last Edit: May 02, 2012, 07:28:40 AM by elflord »

briansquibb

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #109 on: May 02, 2012, 10:06:51 AM »
More realistic will be a 7D mk2 with a APS-H sensor and 20-24 MP ( to compete with Nikon budget ff body and preserve the wildlife capabilities and extra reach reputation of the actual 7D).... move a little bit up the new 70D to compete with Nikon d300S replacement.

An APS-H 7D is a nice idea, but the big problem is that it would lack wide-angle coverage (21mm equivalent with a 16-35 and no EF-S). Manufacturing an APS-H body to compete directly with a Nikon FF body would likely lose Canon a lot of market share for this very reason.

Recent 5D mk II customers no doubt include lots of landscape/nature/architecture photographers who want full frame coverage and good IQ at a reasonable price but don't really mind the 5D II's ancient AF system. There's no reason why they would buy a 1.3x crop and lose critically important wide-angle coverage, so the new Nikon FF would be the logical upgrade path for them.

How many sports shooters need more width than 18mm (14mm lens)?

If you are into UWA then ff is the way ahead

moreorless

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #110 on: May 02, 2012, 11:18:58 AM »
I'v not seen it disucssed much recently but might one alternative be that Canon are looking to release a Foveon like sensor for the high resolution market? there was some talk about a pantent last year if I remmeber correct.

That would seem to explain a few things I'd say. If Canon tested and then ditched the idea of a high MP conventional bayer sensor in the last 2-3 years then its easy to see them failing somewhat behind Sony in the resolution stakes. Equally I'd say it would explain the 5D3 specs given multi leyaer sensors problems with video.

wouldnt a lot of still photographers buy a good sensor even if it did not have video?

Yeah I'm sure they would, my point was that if the high resolution body did not feature video then it makes more sense to target the 5D3 which does more at the video market, hence the 22MP ideal for pixel binning and the strong AA filter.
« Last Edit: May 02, 2012, 11:31:20 AM by moreorless »

plutonium10

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #111 on: May 02, 2012, 11:41:41 AM »
More realistic will be a 7D mk2 with a APS-H sensor and 20-24 MP ( to compete with Nikon budget ff body and preserve the wildlife capabilities and extra reach reputation of the actual 7D).... move a little bit up the new 70D to compete with Nikon d300S replacement.

An APS-H 7D is a nice idea, but the big problem is that it would lack wide-angle coverage (21mm equivalent with a 16-35 and no EF-S). Manufacturing an APS-H body to compete directly with a Nikon FF body would likely lose Canon a lot of market share for this very reason.

Recent 5D mk II customers no doubt include lots of landscape/nature/architecture photographers who want full frame coverage and good IQ at a reasonable price but don't really mind the 5D II's ancient AF system. There's no reason why they would buy a 1.3x crop and lose critically important wide-angle coverage, so the new Nikon FF would be the logical upgrade path for them.

How many sports shooters need more width than 18mm (14mm lens)?

If you are into UWA then ff is the way ahead

I used the example of a 16-35 because the 14mm is a rather specialized and uncommon lens not really targeted at an "entry-level" market. Secondly, sports shooters may not need UWA, but many wildlife shooters also shoot landscape.

Anyway, the discussion was about replacing Canon's current "budget" FF camera (the 5D mk II) with an APS-H camera. This would leave a big gap in Canon's lineup for the reasons outlined in my previous post.
« Last Edit: May 02, 2012, 11:46:42 AM by plutonium10 »
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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #111 on: May 02, 2012, 11:41:41 AM »

briansquibb

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #112 on: May 02, 2012, 11:59:13 AM »
More realistic will be a 7D mk2 with a APS-H sensor and 20-24 MP ( to compete with Nikon budget ff body and preserve the wildlife capabilities and extra reach reputation of the actual 7D).... move a little bit up the new 70D to compete with Nikon d300S replacement.

An APS-H 7D is a nice idea, but the big problem is that it would lack wide-angle coverage (21mm equivalent with a 16-35 and no EF-S). Manufacturing an APS-H body to compete directly with a Nikon FF body would likely lose Canon a lot of market share for this very reason.

Recent 5D mk II customers no doubt include lots of landscape/nature/architecture photographers who want full frame coverage and good IQ at a reasonable price but don't really mind the 5D II's ancient AF system. There's no reason why they would buy a 1.3x crop and lose critically important wide-angle coverage, so the new Nikon FF would be the logical upgrade path for them.

How many sports shooters need more width than 18mm (14mm lens)?

If you are into UWA then ff is the way ahead

I used the example of a 16-35 because the 14mm is a rather specialized and uncommon lens not really targeted at an "entry-level" market. Secondly, sports shooters may not need UWA, but many wildlife shooters also shoot landscape.

Anyway, the discussion was about replacing Canon's current "budget" FF camera (the 5D mk II) with an APS-H camera. This would leave a big gap in Canon's lineup for the reasons outlined in my previous post.

Without a aps-h camera there is already a big gap in Canon's lineup. The 7D would continue in the same way as the 5DII so that gap would not happen.

PS Never seen a BIF taking landscapes with a 1D4 - they have a 5DII as a second body ......

plutonium10

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #113 on: May 02, 2012, 12:16:48 PM »
Without a aps-h camera there is already a big gap in Canon's lineup. The 7D would continue in the same way as the 5DII so that gap would not happen.

Don't get me wrong, I agree with the idea of a 7D mk II possibly being APS-H. The gap in the lineup I'm describing is the one that would be left if this new APS-H *REPLACED* the 5D mk II, and the MK II stopped being sold. What camera would people then buy if they wanted an affordable FF body?

PS Never seen a BIF taking landscapes with a 1D4 - they have a 5DII as a second body ......

Once again, we are talking about entry-level. Most people in the prosumer segment probably don't want to buy a second camera body for wide-angle.
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briansquibb

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #114 on: May 02, 2012, 12:50:29 PM »
Without a aps-h camera there is already a big gap in Canon's lineup. The 7D would continue in the same way as the 5DII so that gap would not happen.

Don't get me wrong, I agree with the idea of a 7D mk II possibly being APS-H. The gap in the lineup I'm describing is the one that would be left if this new APS-H *REPLACED* the 5D mk II, and the MK II stopped being sold. What camera would people then buy if they wanted an affordable FF body?

PS Never seen a BIF taking landscapes with a 1D4 - they have a 5DII as a second body ......

Once again, we are talking about entry-level. Most people in the prosumer segment probably don't want to buy a second camera body for wide-angle.

I am suggesting that the 7D and the 5DII continue

The 7DII would sit alonside the 5DIII

If an entry level ff is coming in then it would be a 5DII replacement

plutonium10

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #115 on: May 02, 2012, 01:17:25 PM »
I am suggesting that the 7D and the 5DII continue

The 7DII would sit alonside the 5DIII

If an entry level ff is coming in then it would be a 5DII replacement

Yeah, that makes sense, except in my personal opinion that would be one too many cameras in the lineup, which is why I like the idea of the 7D line staying APS-C and just being remade as the 7D mk II. I wonder what they will call the entry level FF camera though... 6D? 7Ds?
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briansquibb

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #116 on: May 02, 2012, 01:47:51 PM »
I am suggesting that the 7D and the 5DII continue

The 7DII would sit alonside the 5DIII

If an entry level ff is coming in then it would be a 5DII replacement

Yeah, that makes sense, except in my personal opinion that would be one too many cameras in the lineup, which is why I like the idea of the 7D line staying APS-C and just being remade as the 7D mk II. I wonder what they will call the entry level FF camera though... 6D? 7Ds?

6D sounds good for the entry level ff
3D for the supersports 7DII?

dilbert

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #117 on: May 02, 2012, 02:13:20 PM »
More realistic will be a 7D mk2 with a APS-H sensor and 20-24 MP ( to compete with Nikon budget ff body and preserve the wildlife capabilities and extra reach reputation of the actual 7D).... move a little bit up the new 70D to compete with Nikon d300S replacement.

An APS-H 7D is a nice idea, but the big problem is that it would lack wide-angle coverage (21mm equivalent with a 16-35 and no EF-S). Manufacturing an APS-H body to compete directly with a Nikon FF body would likely lose Canon a lot of market share for this very reason.

Recent 5D mk II customers no doubt include lots of landscape/nature/architecture photographers who want full frame coverage and good IQ at a reasonable price but don't really mind the 5D II's ancient AF system. There's no reason why they would buy a 1.3x crop and lose critically important wide-angle coverage, so the new Nikon FF would be the logical upgrade path for them.

The last 7D MkII rumor on the front page of this website was that there will be no 7D Mk II.... so...

I will give you a very simple example:  one car manufacturer make a car that is predicted to sell in say... 200.000 exemplars... huge success ..... and they sell 600.000... they will interrupt the current model and they will not came out with a new generation?????

Same with 7D HUGE success ..... is not logical to interrupt the model. Maybe will be FF maybe APS-H or APS-C but 7Dmk2 will be released.

Here are the problems...

If a successor with a frame size any different to APS-C was released then it would create market confusion. Thus far in Canon's history, they have not done that. So a full frame 7D would not be called a "7D Mark II". At best it might be called "7Ds" but Canon have moved away from that at the top end so it is difficult to see how they would do it at the low end. Rinse and repeat for APS-H instead of APS-C. Similarly, I believe that the 1D experience means that Canon will not introduce a split 7D series - ie. there will be no 7Ds that sells concurrently with the 7D. If it were to be APS-H, it would be 7DX or some such. Canon has learnt its lesson in that regard.

In terms of the camera itself, it is (or was) positioned as a premium APS-C camera at $1699. Sony redefined that price point to $1399 with the A77. Below that price point there is lots of action and the market is very competitive with lots of different offerings. For new camera buyers (new to Canon, that is), they need to see a good value proposition vs what Nikon and Sony offer and a $1699 (or more) 7D successor just doesn't do that.

IMHO, it was a mistake of Canon to call the 7D a 7D but then Canon's product numbering scheme for its DSLRs is in a world of hurt because they're fast running out of numbers that fit their prior pattern.

dilbert

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #118 on: May 02, 2012, 02:14:52 PM »
I am suggesting that the 7D and the 5DII continue

The 7DII would sit alonside the 5DIII

If an entry level ff is coming in then it would be a 5DII replacement

Yeah, that makes sense, except in my personal opinion that would be one too many cameras in the lineup, which is why I like the idea of the 7D line staying APS-C and just being remade as the 7D mk II. I wonder what they will call the entry level FF camera though... 6D? 7Ds?

6D sounds good for the entry level ff
3D for the supersports 7DII?

Sure, but a 3D would cost more than a 5D3 and less than a 1DX. Are you sure about that?

plutonium10

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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #119 on: May 02, 2012, 02:25:17 PM »
Sure, but a 3D would cost more than a 5D3 and less than a 1DX. Are you sure about that?

Yeah, that's true. And 3D just sounds goofy for some reason. I think the only fitting names left are 2D, 4D (maybe for a high MP studio camera) and 6D (maybe for an entry level FF cam). After that all that's left is sticking "x", "s", "n", or some other noodle of of the alphabet soup on the end of a pre-existing model name.
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Re: More Full Frame Cameras on the 2012 Horizon? [CR2/CR1]
« Reply #119 on: May 02, 2012, 02:25:17 PM »