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How much will the 5d3 cost at the end of 2012?

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unfocused:

--- Quote from: Marsu42 on July 02, 2012, 02:23:58 PM ---
--- Quote from: neuroanatomist on July 02, 2012, 12:14:48 PM ---For example, I infer that initial sales of the new 600EX-RT were not as strong as expected, and that's why it was added to the current rebate program (unusual for a newly-released product).

--- End quote ---

Unfortunately the 600rt wasn't added to the european cash-back program, even though all other flashes have a rebate :-(  ... maybe eu customers are more keen on bleeding edge tech? Anyway, I would think that the 600rt sales are good because the used 580ex2 price has dropped so much, and imho this means people are upgrading.

--- End quote ---

Honestly, I don't consider a $30 rebate a sign of anything.

thepancakeman:

--- Quote from: unfocused on July 02, 2012, 03:34:30 PM ---
--- Quote from: Marsu42 on July 02, 2012, 02:23:58 PM ---
--- Quote from: neuroanatomist on July 02, 2012, 12:14:48 PM ---For example, I infer that initial sales of the new 600EX-RT were not as strong as expected, and that's why it was added to the current rebate program (unusual for a newly-released product).

--- End quote ---

Unfortunately the 600rt wasn't added to the european cash-back program, even though all other flashes have a rebate :-(  ... maybe eu customers are more keen on bleeding edge tech? Anyway, I would think that the 600rt sales are good because the used 580ex2 price has dropped so much, and imho this means people are upgrading.

--- End quote ---

Honestly, I don't consider a $30 rebate a sign of anything.

--- End quote ---

I think you underestimate the "sale" effect on consumer mentality.  People buy stuff just because it's perceived as a good deal, regardless of whether or not it is.  Just check out eBay--people often buy stuff for more than MSRP just because it's on eBay they think it must be a good deal.  I have buddies at work that go to the same restaurant for lunch every Monday because they get double stamps on their frequent diner card, even though they end up spending more even with thier freebie than they would at other restaurants.

Canon knows this, so I absolutely would take it as a sign that they are not moving as many as they would like.

Marsu42:

--- Quote from: unfocused on July 02, 2012, 03:34:30 PM ---Honestly, I don't consider a $30 rebate a sign of anything.

--- End quote ---

Ugh, I thought the rebate was higher considering the price - you're correct, might not mean much, only that now all flashes have a minor incentive to buy them now (the 580ex2 wasn't in the first list because it was phased out).

traveller:

--- Quote from: neuroanatomist on July 02, 2012, 12:14:48 PM ---It really depends on sales volume, more than anything.  For example, I infer that initial sales of the new 600EX-RT were not as strong as expected, and that's why it was added to the current rebate program (unusual for a newly-released product).

--- End quote ---

Very true, but it might also depend on what Nikon's offer is with regard to the (very strongly) rumoured D600.  The trouble for Canon with a camera like the D600 would be creating a rival that could match its price point, whilst looking like a better camera than the 5D MkII and not as good as the 5D MkIII.  Canon might be forced to do some asymmetric competition by lowering the price of the 5D MkIII to perhaps half way between the D600 and D800; this would be analogous to the situation that used to exist between Canon's pre-60D XXD line and the Nikon D70-90/D100-300. 

Northstar:
I think $3000 for the holidays of 2012.  The d800 has been sold out and/or back ordered for over 3 months now while the 5d3 has always been available to buy with little to no wait, and THAT speaks volumes about the higher demand for the d800 vs the 5d3.  This supply demand curve will force canon to lower the price to $3k...IMO. 

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