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Author Topic: Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?  (Read 2830 times)

dilbert

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Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« on: July 17, 2012, 09:16:30 PM »
When we look at some of Canon's current lenses, such as the 50/1.4, we can see that they either are or are approaching being 20 years old and that their price hasn't changed a whole lot in that time. However in the last 20 years, lots of other things have had rather dramatic price changes, for example houses and cards and last but not least, wages have gone up.

What that makes me wonder is in 10 or 15 years time, will the prices of these new primes with IS still be considered to be "high" or will they have moderated if the price stays the same but our take home salary has increased?

Is Canon delivering new lenses at a higher price with the expectation that they will remain on sale for close to 20 years and that if the price doesn't change then as they approach end-of-life, they will have become as affordable as the current lenses are today?

Is an $800 lens today a $400 lens (in terms of affordability) in 20 years?

Something that I just realised is that Canon have to replace or retire a lens within 26 years of its first manufacturing date as their date code system does not have a way to handle it wrapping.

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Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« on: July 17, 2012, 09:16:30 PM »

wickidwombat

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Re: Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« Reply #1 on: July 17, 2012, 09:24:07 PM »
maybe they are intended to be, I think canon made a press statement to something of that effect
however it will be interesting to see which ones last and which ones dont

I definatley think the 40mm is going to be an iconic stayer that will stand the test of time though

I wonder which others of the new generation lenses will become the stuff of legend. new generation i'm classing 2010 and newer lenses

I think the 70-200 f2.8L IS II is probably already there since its got 2 years under its belt already and a killer rep it will no doubt go the distance
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Re: Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« Reply #2 on: July 17, 2012, 09:24:23 PM »
Something that I just realised is that Canon have to replace or retire a lens within 26 years of its first manufacturing date as their date code system does not have a way to handle it wrapping.

Except that only L-series lenses and some old non-L lenses have a date code, and it's likely moot any since Canon seems to have eliminated date codes (the 70-300L doesn't have one, and although my early copy of the 70-200 II does, the date code was dropped from later production runs of that lens).
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Sproutey

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Re: Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2012, 08:48:14 AM »
Ironically, with the new price regime it'll take 15-20 years to pay off the average lens....  ;)

RLPhoto

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Re: Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2012, 11:28:01 AM »
We can't say for sure but If you purchased a 200mm F1.8L from yesteryear, It still snaggs quite a bit of cash on evil bay.

Mt Spokane Photography

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Re: Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2012, 12:10:43 PM »


Something that I just realised is that Canon have to replace or retire a lens within 26 years of its first manufacturing date as their date code system does not have a way to handle it wrapping.

Since Canon stopped adding Date codes to new lens models about two years ago, Thats not the case.

Halfrack

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Re: Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2012, 03:33:27 PM »
Well, for $11,500 I would hope that the 400/2.8 II lens does normalize after 5-10 years...
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Re: Are these new lenses expected to be sold for 15-20 years?
« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2012, 03:33:27 PM »