I'd bet on the one this year. There's not typically a big gap between development announcements and formal announcements. I expect we'll see the formal announcement around the Olympics complete with photos taken at said Olympics and sports shooters doing their testimonial videos about how great it was to use there. Kind of like the 1D4 announcement around the Winter Olympics. Us mere mortals will probably get a shot at one this fall. This camera's been cooking for some time now, it won't be as long as you think.A safe bet if you aren't too particular about which Olympics. Certainly not the ones scheduled for this year.