The last month or so has seen a steady stream to our inbox of EOS R and RF mount information. Some will obviously be wishlists, but some of the information will be accurate.
We've been told on multiple occasions that an RF mount video product of some kind is in development. While only one of the comments mentioned a Cinema EOS camera, a couple of others said it would likely be outside of the Cinema EOS in its first iteration.
Most of the people we have talked to seem to agree that we won't see such a camera until 2020 at the earliest, and not to expect this kind of hardware announcement for NAB in April of 2019. The RF mount needs more native lenses before an RF mount video product makes sense.
That said, I do wonder how many video shooters would appreciate an RF mount video product just to use the RF to EF filter adapters.
The first model should be more like an XC series body design with the 'standard' 8.8MP s35mm sensor with the RF-mount to accept the adapter, slotted well below the C200.
Either way, they have a ton of options, so many rumour possibilities.
Read my lips: EF is on life-support, but clinically dead. :p
depends how you define it.
1. launch of last new EF lens ... 1-2 years max. or already happened :)
2. end of production for EF lenses ... 5+ years
3. last factory-new EF lens sold ... hard to predict
4. end of service/no more spare parts for last EF lens model ... 10+ years out
5. last image captured with an EF lens ... hard to predict
6. last EF lens ceases to exist ... could be several 1000 years from now ... although these days EF lenses are unlikely to be buried air-sealed in a pyramid as funerary object alongside their pharaoh owner. :D
By itself, your predictions look compelling,...
however, if you look at Canon's current line up of systems (lenses and bodies) your prediction has a lot of gaps! How are they going to fill all the segments that they are now occupying? Are they surely going to release APS-C R bodies? If so when? Or perhaps they are going to fill out the M line of lenses? Or perhaps you have some other combination of systems that you see Canon going for? I am sure Canon doesn't base their strategy just on lenses.
I expect Canon to simply repeat what they did with DSLRs. Two product lines, one FF, one APS-C.
* FF = EOS R: FF [not APS-C], high IQ, larger, more expensive, full lens assortment [like EF]
* APS-C = EOS M: compact, decent IQ, affordable price, limited lens lineup only [similar to EF-S]
And they are going to replace 9 cameras with 3?
Sony will not sit are their hands for the next two years
I also think it will be at least 5 years out before there will be no new EF lenses. I know that the FD to EF mount switch in 1987 is not comparable, because the FD mount died almost instantly, but in the first 5 years Canon released 8,8 NEW EF lenses PER year, hereof 12 (twelve) in the first year 1987! (source EFlens.com)
But still there is a long way to have the current setup, and Canon does not need the same speed thanks to the EF-RF adaptor.
My quess is that Canon will probably make at least a 1D mkIII and 5D mkV (and maybe - but I doubt a 6D mkIII) - but that could also be the end of new EF mount cameras, and by that also the end of new EF mount lenses - but still - we are 5-10 years out, and support of existing cameras and lenses is further 5-10 years out before end.
That's a pretty safe bet, since there was just someone posting the other day who thought Canon's strategy for success was to service/promote FD lenses, or some such.
But anyways, EF isn't going anywhere, because Canon sells too many APSC DSLRs. EOS M and EOS R (and certainly not Nikon Z, lol) don't come remotely close to the real digital ILC cash cows - T6 and D3400
4 EOS R models. just like FF DSLRs. EOS R (6D III+), EOS R100 (6D III), EOS 5R (5DS/R II), EOS 1R (1D-X III)
+ 3 croppers: EOS M50, M200, M5 II.
nothing more needed. no more shelve stuffers. :)
lol. Right now Canon probably is selling more M50s than all ******* mirrorslapping Rebels + 80Ds + 7D IIs + all Nikon crop slappers combined. :-)
famous last words. Well suited as Canon Inc.'s Epitaph.
In terms of cinema eos users very few. The drop in variable nd filter would be super useful for video on cameras without nds (ie everything outside the c series) but the cinema series have built in nds.