- I can see these specs being accurate if the 5DMK3 is released at $3500-$4000.
It makes sense especially when D800 is rumored to be between $3000 to $3900. With similar amount of money, customers decide themselves if they want a niche-like D800 resolution monster (esp. with the AA filter removed); or if they want a more all-round 5D3 with a better than decent AF and the good old IQ (hopefully with better DR and without banding anymore).
- They could pull off using the 61 point auto-focus, no reason not to... but the 100,000 pixel RGB metering will be absent, as will all the features that come with it, like the intelligent tracking and spot metering using the active AF points. So the 1D X will still be well ahead of the 5DMK3 when it comes to mission critical action shots, and evaluative metering.
- I also expect we won't see any more than a doubling of the ISO speed, probably up to 12,800, but much more usable and probably software limited just to keep it from eating into the 1D X sales. Hopefully we'll see a nice jump in the DR too. But expect the 1D X to trounce the 5DMK3 when it comes to low light and DR performance, even if Canon has to kneecap the upper ISO select-ability of the 5DMK3 to do so. I don't think Canon will let the selectable ISO be anywhere near the 51,200 of the 1D X, even if the noise levels for the two look identical up to 12,800... the 5DMK3 will just not have anything higher available.
Exactly, and that's why I think mission critical pro-togs will still pay $7k for ultimate AF and ISO. No matter what. Their mission critical jobs pay for their top of the line equipment. And without top of the line equipment, they can't make a living.
What about other less-demanding pro-togs or enthusiasts? They will hesitate and think they might not need the top of the line AF and ISO. But they definitely want something better than 5D2. They will settle for a $4k deal. They were never meant to be the target audience of 1D X anyway.
Either way, I see Canon's future line of FF models somewhat better positioned than Nikon's.