« on: December 17, 2012, 12:47:19 AM »
Also, that means another line of FF mirrorless lenses...*shiver*Yeah, thats really the piece that makes this technology pretty far off. To actually release a full-frame mirrorless camera with all the lens options a pro would want (fast zooms, primes, tilt-shifts, super teles, etc), it'd take them years to fill out the line. Even if they release the body in the next year, it's probably 3-4yrs down the line until its a viable option as a system. That also assumes 3rd party manufacturers get behind it, otherwise it's probably 5-6yrs
I somewhat agree, but you also have to look at the players. Once potential sales dictates that one of the big players (not a niche player like Leica) push the platform forward, lenses will come fairly rapidly. If Canon or Nikon jumps on the FF mirrorless bandwagon, the 3rd party lens makers won't be far behind. Lenses are slow going in the mirrorless market right now because DSLR and DSLR lens sales are still what keeps the lights on.
There's currently no need to aggressively produce a ton of mirrorless lenses. That would change quickly of one of those companies managed to produce a high demand FF mirrorless. I agree it could be 5-6 years before they were ubiquitous but alot sooner for a fairly complete kit with the exception of superteles which I think will always remain a niche.