.You know what i believe, i believe if you walk into ANY camera shop in the US you will consistently find the d800 out of stock, and more often than not a 5d3 in stock....I'm not making up the fact that I can buy and have a 5d3 in my hands within one day if I want one, if I want a d800, then I better say a prayer....I believe that both companies have similar manufacturing capabilities so I'm guessing that the supply side is similar.....and as I said earlier, only nikon and canon know the supply side, but the demand side seems to favor Nikon.....so - $3000 by year end for my guess
.Your logic is overwhelming. Did you consider the fact that there are more 5D Mark III's out there than D800's? Additionally, do you know Canon and Nikon production volume capabilities? You're making this conclusion because you see store shelves? Wow. Look at the overall market. Canon dominates Nikon in overall market. Maybe you are right, not in these particular two cameras, but your viewpoint is quite narrow and probably inaccurate.
1. Logic?? I'm just speculating on the future price of a 5d3 based on limited info.
2. How do you know "there are more 5d3's out there than d800's"? Are there actual "units sold" numbers posted somewhere? Nikon states production target of 30k d800s/ month...canon doesn't provide that info.
3. Canon does not
dominate Nikon in higher end dslr market...they did, but not anymore.
4. "I see store shelves"...and I talk to store sales guys who say the interest in the d800 is higher than the 5d3.
Bottom line, both companies recently announced the sale of their 70 millionth lens, AND, the time it took each company to go from 65 million to 70 million was similar. So, IMO, this is a good indication that market share, resources, production capabilities, unit volumes..etc are pretty comparable between the two when discussing dslr's.