In the previous generation, the 5D3 only had better IQ over the 1DX due to resolution alone at low ISO.
Will the same hold true again? I think so.
The 1DX was better than the 5D3 at about 400 ISO and beyond. Depending of course on how picky (discerning) you are.
It is hard to imagine that Canon would show up the 1DX2 with a 5D series body. We certainty aren't getting better high ISO performance. At best, we might get a little better low ISO DR? Maybe, maybe not. Depends how they "tune" the sensor.
The 1DX2 has, for Canon, along with the 80D, shown a huge, huge leap in DR performance. ISO is improved, but not a whole lot. Which makes sense, as this is a very difficult area to improve on. And historically, a 1/3 stop per generation is typical. With 1/2 stop or more being an exceptional improvement.
All that said, we now know that unless Canon changes the way they do things - the 5D4 will be close, but not better than the 1DX2 image quality which is readily available online now. Nikon has never done it that way. They're ok with some cameras being better IQ at a lower line. Nikon obviously specialized with their D5 sensor. Going for all out high ISO performance, and giving up DR and resolution. I think that is a big mistake on their part. This is because all the D5 has going for it is the sports features. Speed and high ISO. In sports, Canon destroys Nikon. More speed, superior glass - things that matter most. As well as superior AF. And just a hair less high ISO performance, it is literally splitting meaningless hairs at that point.
Nikon I believe underestimated the number of photographers that use their flagship for events that are not sports. This is for two reasons, because the D810 is too slow, has bad high ISO, and makes gigantic files. Not to mention crappy controls for fast paced environments. Nikon lacks a 5D3 events jack-of-all-trades workhorse. D750 is kinda it now, but it's got some weaknesses. Serious pros turn to the D4S for weddings, concerts, and all events and general purpose use.
When it comes to video, Canon is slaughtering Nikon at the flagship level. Thus, the 1DX2 will be more successful than the D5.
But back to the 5D4 -- the main competitor will be the D750. 24mp. Very good sensor. But the camera feels like a plastic turd. Terrible ergonomics. Bad reputation with recalls. Nikon had a real chance to take over the event camera world, and failed. Canon, despite being horrifically slow to innovate - and given the 1DX2's performance, has only "caught up" NOT surpassed the competition, it will again come down to a choice -
Do you want the utmost in IQ, yet sacrifice in literally all other areas? Get Nikon. Happy with just a few percentage points less IQ that never show up in real world use - but gain advantage in nearly every other category? Go Canon.
As far as the rest - 5D4 will have the same 61pt system, will it be as good as the 1DX2? I doubt it. Weaker in processing or logic somehow. 24mp is what is rumored. That is good. More DR, but not as much as Nikon but close. Sounds good. 7fps.
Not much left to know if one is looking to make a decision before announcement. Unless there's some shocker surprise ( unlikely ). You pretty much know what you're getting.
The 6D2 might be the only mystery. As last time, it's sensor was better than the 5D3. It was a sort of 1/3 generation newer sensor.
Will the same hold true again? I think so.
The 1DX was better than the 5D3 at about 400 ISO and beyond. Depending of course on how picky (discerning) you are.
It is hard to imagine that Canon would show up the 1DX2 with a 5D series body. We certainty aren't getting better high ISO performance. At best, we might get a little better low ISO DR? Maybe, maybe not. Depends how they "tune" the sensor.
The 1DX2 has, for Canon, along with the 80D, shown a huge, huge leap in DR performance. ISO is improved, but not a whole lot. Which makes sense, as this is a very difficult area to improve on. And historically, a 1/3 stop per generation is typical. With 1/2 stop or more being an exceptional improvement.
All that said, we now know that unless Canon changes the way they do things - the 5D4 will be close, but not better than the 1DX2 image quality which is readily available online now. Nikon has never done it that way. They're ok with some cameras being better IQ at a lower line. Nikon obviously specialized with their D5 sensor. Going for all out high ISO performance, and giving up DR and resolution. I think that is a big mistake on their part. This is because all the D5 has going for it is the sports features. Speed and high ISO. In sports, Canon destroys Nikon. More speed, superior glass - things that matter most. As well as superior AF. And just a hair less high ISO performance, it is literally splitting meaningless hairs at that point.
Nikon I believe underestimated the number of photographers that use their flagship for events that are not sports. This is for two reasons, because the D810 is too slow, has bad high ISO, and makes gigantic files. Not to mention crappy controls for fast paced environments. Nikon lacks a 5D3 events jack-of-all-trades workhorse. D750 is kinda it now, but it's got some weaknesses. Serious pros turn to the D4S for weddings, concerts, and all events and general purpose use.
When it comes to video, Canon is slaughtering Nikon at the flagship level. Thus, the 1DX2 will be more successful than the D5.
But back to the 5D4 -- the main competitor will be the D750. 24mp. Very good sensor. But the camera feels like a plastic turd. Terrible ergonomics. Bad reputation with recalls. Nikon had a real chance to take over the event camera world, and failed. Canon, despite being horrifically slow to innovate - and given the 1DX2's performance, has only "caught up" NOT surpassed the competition, it will again come down to a choice -
Do you want the utmost in IQ, yet sacrifice in literally all other areas? Get Nikon. Happy with just a few percentage points less IQ that never show up in real world use - but gain advantage in nearly every other category? Go Canon.
As far as the rest - 5D4 will have the same 61pt system, will it be as good as the 1DX2? I doubt it. Weaker in processing or logic somehow. 24mp is what is rumored. That is good. More DR, but not as much as Nikon but close. Sounds good. 7fps.
Not much left to know if one is looking to make a decision before announcement. Unless there's some shocker surprise ( unlikely ). You pretty much know what you're getting.
The 6D2 might be the only mystery. As last time, it's sensor was better than the 5D3. It was a sort of 1/3 generation newer sensor.