neuroanatomist said:psolberg said:the problem with your rationale is that the camera industry is down across the board so you cannot compared things properly as you have two disruptions: mirrorless and smart phones.neuroanatomist said:psolberg said:Even if Canon/Nikon stay behind with their beastly lenses and cameras that need a sherpa to carry, along with the Medium format monsters, and sony never makes it there. I doubt most people would even factor that anymore that we factor the complete lack of medium format gear from the big two. It just doesn't matter anymore. This is a disruption. Legacy is just legacy.
Is it? This is what MILCs vs. dSLRs looks like:
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This is what a real disruption looks like:
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Can you spot the difference? :![]()
Read Thom Hogan's interesting takes on this subject as he does make some much better analysis than your charts there.
Sony's bet is on the disruption that basically anybody but canon/nikon see: DSLRs will continue to become niche and their lens systems will go with it. The smartphone disruption will ALSO hurt mirrorless vendors. In fact EVERYBODY making cameras will feel it.
The question is not what happens today or just last year. To be honest, EVFs have to advance a bit more, and lens systems have to grow in mirrorless. But that is the trend and it is the disadvantage of DSLRs with their bulky costly designs full of moving parts and film era roots.
Lastly, do not use the past to predict the future. That is foolish. Look at the present: people are buying less cameras and the industry is hurting. Sony bets that when the ashes settle, they will have a completing system for people who want to get more from a smart phone (which is a sony sensor anyway). They think they will want APS-C and Full frame mirrorless with modern optics designed for the new age. Canon Nikon? who knows. Maybe they hope people will go back to buying rebels or whatever. Either way, disruption is taking place, like it or not. Maybe sony is wrong and people will re-embrace DSLRs and their old lens systems. But again, we're at this inflection point where DSLRs will need to prove their relevancy and that hasn't happened before: the film to digital transition was on the capture medium (film vs electronic). The mounts, mirrors, OVFs all stayed the same. This time, everything changes including the mounts.
It's amusing when someone's words from just minutes ago come back to mock them...
psolberg said:yeah keep it on topic buddy. just saying. keep it on topic (read topic).
1) Stocks and investment advise and hypothetical returns on canon/sony stocks, which is the topic that was going out of control is what I commented on. My suggestion is you read what I said because I'm not touching stocks, so there is that.
2) I'm discussion this camera and sony's disruptions in mirrorles to the establishment in reply to a post addressed to me. I could have not replied yes, but I deemed it on topic because many are addressing the strenght of the canon system as a rationale to avoid the sony camera in topic. My point to that is made above and it is very much on topic. At least to a degree that is far more on topic than arguing who would have made more money investing 100 bucks in a stock. That is ridiculously OT.
If you cannot see the difference feel free to argue but I won't reply because that is as useful as the stock investment scenario. 8)
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