What We Expect Canon to Announce in the Coming Months

Canon you are on the clock until early summer... A real RF 400mm 2.8 replacement with build in TC is long overdue and I'm really loosing hope. As soon as Nikon will release the Z9 II, even more wildlife photographers will leave Canon, including me...
 
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Canon you are on the clock until early summer... A real RF 400mm 2.8 replacement with build in TC is long overdue and I'm really loosing hope. As soon as Nikon will release the Z9 II, even more wildlife photographers will leave Canon, including me...
Be sure to stamp your foot a little bit, it will make the threat more effective and ensure that Canon responds to your demand in a timely manner.
 
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I am kind of going to repeat what I already wrote recently about RF-S lenses. Last year there was a rumor that we are going to get two power zoom and one fast prime RF-S lenses. In the meantime 14-30mm power zoom was released. Therefore next two RF-S lenses are probably:

1. Additional power zoom RF-S lens
2. Fast RF-S prime, maybe 32mm f/1.4

They would be nice companions to R50V and at least one will be released before summer. A constant aperture f/2.8 zoom is also in the works but we will have yo wait a little bit more.
 
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Maybe interested in the 300-600 mm f5.6, but I already have the 100-300 mm f2.8 which is more flexible with 1.4x and 2x TCs. Potentially interested in a 2nd generation 400 mm f2.8, but it really depends on what it brings to the table. Either lighter weight or built-in TC at the same weight would be very nice. No rush on my part.
 
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Be sure to stamp your foot a little bit, it will make the threat more effective and ensure that Canon responds to your demand in a timely manner.
:ROFLMAO: I'm sure Canon can differentiate between a threat and a customer voice. Spending my money with other companies isn't a threat, it's a business decision as much as Canon has to decide if they want to invest now on new big white prime lenses with certain features. I bought the EF 200-400 4.0 with build in TC, as I thought and still think it is an amazing idea. Unfortunately, not Canon continued to implement it but Nikon did. So far, Nikon is a bit behind in AF capabilities but I would expect this will change with the next generation Z9. Canon needed quite some time to get a competitive mirrorless wildlife Cam into the market - they finally did with the R5 II but the big white lenses don't cut it, especially with such a price tag. I would like to replace my EF lenses for lighter RF lenses. Mid 2026, I would predict, that many people will go for Nikon in a comparison a R5 II + RF 400.28 vs Nikon Z9 II with the Z 400mm 2.8 with build in TC (if Nikon manage to get this Cam out and if Canon is not refreshing its big white 400mm and 600mm primes). Just my opinion, no threat, not happy if I have to change to Nikon but in my opinion Canon will not convince me and others with its current offering.
 
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Concerning "New Higher-End RF-S Lenses", I wonder if Canon might not let Sigma do that for them. but then I don't know how much Sigma is paying Canon in licensing fees. If Sigma introduces a 50-140 f/2.8 DC OS C, I'll almost certainly buy it. I'm pretty sure Richard will too.
 
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Canon you are on the clock until early summer... A real RF 400mm 2.8 replacement with build in TC is long overdue and I'm really loosing hope. As soon as Nikon will release the Z9 II, even more wildlife photographers will leave Canon, including me...
And I thought Canon had already lost every single wildlife photographer, you must be the last survivor! :)
 
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And I thought Canon had already lost every single wildlife photographer, you must be the last survivor! :)
:LOL: it definitely changed a lot, I wonder if this is Canon strategy or just Sony and Nikon prioritize this niche more? Let's see and wait, at least a little bit longer ;) - It is definitely a good thing that we have now 3 major competitors fighting for our money :).
 
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A tale as old as time. For Nikon's sake, I hope you're right! They need the custom.
Yeah, everyone was deserting Canon for Nikon. Then Sony. Now, apparently, Nikon again. Been hearing it for 15 years. Meanwhile, Canon continues to dominate the market. But maybe this time, this time maybe @Dr_Flash is right...

CB.gif

...but probably not.
 
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Yeah, everyone was deserting Canon for Nikon. Then Sony. Now, apparently, Nikon again. Been hearing it for 15 years. Meanwhile, Canon continues to dominate the market. But maybe this time, this time maybe @Dr_Flash is right...

View attachment 228038

...but probably not.
totally with you on that, hearing it even for 25 years ;).I would never switch overall. But, I'm not talking whole camera market, I just focus on wildlife photography as I focus on the super tele lenses. This niche market was dominated by Canon for a very very long time, similar to Sports using the same equipment. After Sony came in with great AF in their mirrorless (toy) cameras but not super great lenses - still a significant number switched. With the Z9 and the 400 2.8 with TC in 2021, Nikon had an OKisch AF and the best Lens on the market. More switched, even in not so easy times after COVID. Since then Nikon pushed a lot for high quality "mid" price range super tele (600mm 5.6, 800mm 6.3) and updated their camera software far more than Canon. So you see definitely more effort from them, as they know they have to win over customers.

As I said before, I'm not looking forward to have Canon and Nikon in my bag. I would love to see more effort from Canon to keep me as a local customer also for my wildlife photography. If Canon come to the conclusion, we don't need this niche anymore, we found e.g. video content creators as our new focus customer group - bad for me, but as you said, they probably continue to dominate for at least a couple more years the overall market - as once Kodak did ;)
 
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But, I'm not talking whole camera market, I just focus on wildlife photography as I focus on the super tele lenses.
Oh, well ok then. A niche market.

…as once Kodak did ;)
Right, because not making a couple of mid-range lenses for a niche market for which Canon already offers multiple relatively inexpensive and very expensive primes, as well as inexpensive and mid-range zooms, is totally analogous to the film to digital paradigm shift. ;)
 
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A " hold my beer” moment would be built-in 1.4 and 2x in the 600 at least. There would be no need to ever make another big white 800 or 1200. That would be a good thing from a business standpoint.
i think this concept works for shorter tele also. start with 200 F1.4 for example! i forget where, but i read somebody claim that built in tele converters are less reliable than external ones. i havent any experience with lenses with built in converters -- are they a problem?
 
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totally with you on that, hearing it even for 25 years ;).I would never switch overall. But, I'm not talking whole camera market, I just focus on wildlife photography as I focus on the super tele lenses. This niche market was dominated by Canon for a very very long time, similar to Sports using the same equipment. After Sony came in with great AF in their mirrorless (toy) cameras but not super great lenses - still a significant number switched. With the Z9 and the 400 2.8 with TC in 2021, Nikon had an OKisch AF and the best Lens on the market. More switched, even in not so easy times after COVID. Since then Nikon pushed a lot for high quality "mid" price range super tele (600mm 5.6, 800mm 6.3) and updated their camera software far more than Canon. So you see definitely more effort from them, as they know they have to win over customers.

As I said before, I'm not looking forward to have Canon and Nikon in my bag. I would love to see more effort from Canon to keep me as a local customer also for my wildlife photography. If Canon come to the conclusion, we don't need this niche anymore, we found e.g. video content creators as our new focus customer group - bad for me, but as you said, they probably continue to dominate for at least a couple more years the overall market - as once Kodak did ;)
Do you have data to backup your claims?

Nikon’s results do not support your claims:
  • Their marketshare has not increased since FY2022.
  • Their sales prediction for lenses and bodies is down: “Nikon has decreased its projected camera sales for this fiscal year from 950,000 to 900,000 units and decreased expected lens sales from 1.4 million to 1.3 million.”
  • Nikon attributes the loss in Q3 of FY2025 to “decline in average selling prices due to changes in the product mix” - which does not support selling a lot of 3000-5000$ tele lenses.
See: https://petapixel.com/2026/02/06/nikon-posts-big-losses-and-cuts-projections/
 
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