@Neuro
that's another interesting list, and I didn't know they had those too, thanks; only one Nikon in the first page, which is nearly all Canon; very impressive
still, the one that should affect prices is the sales list
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@Invertalon
you may be right that we may not see a price drop in the next 6 months
I still expect to see one, but it is obvious that such event is just one possible outcome
the rest of your post doesn't make sense at all
"the fact that the 5D3 is still out of stock in many places" only tells me that demand is higher than supply, it says nothing about the number of cameras Canon is shipping, relative to Nikon (if anything, it tells me it's a low number, as in "it's lower than demand"; there's no other piece of information regarding numbers in that statement)
I don't know if amazon makes its list using orders or shipments
A) if it is "orders", the list tells me (many) more D800's are ordered than 5D3's
B) if it is "shipments", the list tells me (many) more D800's are shipped than 5D3's
and if it is A, the D800 would have to have a massively longer backorder list than the 5D3 for the 5D3 to actually be shipping in higher quantities
the most likely scenario, looking at that list, is that the D800 is having both more orders and more shipments than the 5D3
("most likely", not "inevitable conclusion")
(edit, 01-jun: the 1DX appeared on the list today, at 81st, so it's "orders"; no idea on how many of these orders are being cancelled, for either the 5D3 or the D800, but this confirms that there's a lot more interest in the D800 than in the 5D3; and the backorder list on the D800 would have to be HUGE for it not to be shipping more than the 5D3)
and again, the fact that they're both out of order contains no information regarding relative sales numbers
it's a mystery to me how you would look at that list and conclude that "The supply of the 5D3 they have got are probably MUCH larger then the D800"
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D800 6th
5D3 back to the first page, 19th and 48th
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edit:
24-may: D800 5th, 5D3 23rd and 36th, everything still backordered (but good news: over at bh, the 5d3 kit has been in stock non-stop for 2 or 3 days!!)
25-may: D800 5th, 5D3 28th and 35th
26-may: D800 8th, 5D3 22nd and 49th (for D800, that's the lowest I've seen it since launch)
27-may: D800 5th, 5D3 31st and 32nd
28-may: D800 8th, 5D3 10th and 47th, and IN STOCK!! (body only version, the one that has climbed to 10th)
29-may: D800 9th, 5D3 8th and 54th; Canon on top!! but 5D3 again out of stock...
30-may: D800 8th, 5D3 12nd and 66th
31-may: D800 7th, 5D3 13th and 95th (that's well below the 30D, 40D and 50D, which for some reason still appear in the list)
01-jun: D800 7th, 5D3 15th and 51st
02-jun: D800 4th, 5D3 12th and out-of-the-list
03-jun: D800 6th, 5D3 19th and 37th
04-jun: D800 7th, 5D3 19th and 38th
05-jun: D800 7th, 5D3 19th and 30th (kit in stock)
06-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 17th and 14th (and again out of stock)
07-jun: D800 7th, 5D3 2nd and 30th (body only in stock even after order increase: finally some meaningful re-stock!!)
08-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 6th and 36th (and again out of stock)
09-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 13th and 39th (and the T4i/650D is already there: 10th)
10-jun: D800 6th, 5D3 16th and 42nd (T4i 3rd, and that's the STM kit) (5D3 falls again as stock ends; it doesn't seem to happen to the D800, which has been up there all the time and never in stock)
11-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 17th and 62nd
12-jun: D800 6th, 5D3 22nd and 60th (5D3 in stock, both body and kit, at affiliate stores that carry official price)
13-jun: D800 7th, 5D3 21st and 39th (out of stock again)
14-jun: D800 7th, 5D3 22nd and 37th
15-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 7th and 36th (5D3 in stock, both body and kit!!)
16-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 5th and 21st (5D3 in stock, both body and kit!!)
17-jun: D800 9th, 5D3 6th and 20th (still: 5D3 in stock, both body and kit!!)
18-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 6th and 35th (still: 5D3 in stock, both body and kit!!)
19-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 5th and 23rd (still: 5D3 in stock, both body and kit!!)
20-jun: D800 5th, 5D3 6th and 26th (still: 5D3 in stock, both body and kit!!)
21-jun: D800 6th, 5D3 11th and 27th (in stock but sliding down, as opposed to the D800, out of stock but always up there)
22-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 12th and 22nd (still: 5D3 in stock, both body and kit: first full week without going out of stock!!)
23-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 9th and 34th (body-only goes up as kit goes out of stock) (this suggests that 9th+34th is slightly smaller than 12th+22nd, and the slope is higher at the top)
25-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 9th and 34th
26-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 9th and 43rd (both 5D3 models still in stock, but kit only at amazon partners)
27-jun: D800 8th, 5D3 10th and 30th (both 5D3 models still in stock, but kit only at amazon partners)
28-jun: D800 7th, 5D3 9th and 32nd (both 5D3 models still in stock, but kit only at amazon partners)
29-jun: D800 9th, 5D3 11th and 33rd (body-only in stock, kit backordered)
30-jun: D800 11th, 5D3 6th and 41st (body-only in stock, kit backordered)
01-jul: D800 6th, 5D3 10th and 34th (both 5D3 models in stock)
02-jul: D800 6th, 5D3 10th and 40th (body-only in stock, kit backordered)
03-jul: D800 9th, 5D3 8th and 52nd (both 5D3 models in stock)
04-jul: D800 7th, 5D3 9th and 36th (both 5D3 models in stock)
05-jul: D800 7th, 5D3 11th and 31st (both 5D3 models in stock) (kit at slightly discounted price, $4274, just $25 below usual)
06-jul: D800 7th, 5D3 11th and 27th (both 5D3 models in stock)
also... both at slightly discounted prices: $3484 instead of $3499 and $4249 instead of $4299
same at bhpthotovideo $3484 and $4274
07-jul: D800 7th, 5D3 6th and 22nd after bigger price drop (both models in stock, at $3399 and $4199)
09-jul: D800 4th, 5D3 11th and 25th (kit in stock at $4199, body-only back at $3499 and only in stock at associate sellers)
10-jul: D800 4th, 5D3 18th and 28th (kit in stock at $4249, body-only back at $3499, only in stock at associate sellers)
11-jul: D800 5th, 5D3 21st and 23rd (kit in stock at $4249, body-only at $3484, only in stock at associate sellers)
12-jul: D800 10th, 5D3 21st and 29th (kit in stock at $4249, body-only at $3484, only in stock at associate sellers)
13-jul: D800 9th, 5D3 26th and 31st (kit in stock at $4249, body-only at $3479, only in stock at associate sellers)
14-jul: D800 7th, 5D3 21st and 13th (KIT IN STOCK AT $3999, body-only at $3484, only in stock at associate sellers)
15-jul: D800 7th, 5D3 26th and 10th (both in stock only at associate sellers; price $3199 -adorama- and $4249)
16-jul: D800 11th, 5D3 5th and 12th (both in stock only at associate sellers; price $3449 and $4249)
17-jul: D800 10th, 5D3 8th and 20th (both in stock only at associate sellers; price $3484 and $4249)
18-jul: D800 12th, 5D3 8th and 27th (body-only in stock at $3449, kit in stock only at associate sellers, $4249)
19-jul: D800 12th, 5D3 9th and 23rd (body-only in stock at $3449, kit in stock only at associate sellers, $4249)
20-jul: D800 9th, 5D3 8th and 33rd (body-only in stock at $3349, kit in stock only at associate sellers, $4249)
(also: kit out of stock but listed at $4099 directly from amazon)
21-jul: D800 11th, 5D3 8th (body-only in stock at $3349)
23-jul: D800 10th, 5D3 7th and 38th (body-only in stock, $3349, kit in stock only at associate sellers, $4249)
24-jul: D800 10th, 5D3 6th and 26th (body-only in stock, $3349, kit backordered, $4099)
25-jul: D800 5th, 5D3 6th and 32nd (D800 in stock, first time!) (body-only in stock at $3349, kit backordered, $4099)
26-jul: D800 1st, 5D3 7th and 44th (D800 sold out again) (body-only in stock at $3349, kit backordered, $4099)
27-jul: D800 4th, 5D3 8th and 49th (body-only in stock at $3499, kit in stock only at associate sellers, $4299)
28-jul: D800 5th, 5D3 9th and 42nd (body-only in stock at $3499, kit in stock only at associate sellers, $4299)
30-jul: D800 11th, 5D3 10th and 55th (body-only in stock at $3429, kit in stock only at associate sellers, $4299)
31-jul: D800 10th, 5D3 12th and 33rd (body-only in stock, $3499, kit in stock only at associate sellers, $4299)
I still think the price has to fall, but can't wait any longer: bought a 5D2, will wait and see if Canon pulls its act together, otherwise consider switching brands.
02-ago: D800 1st, 5D3 12th and 28th (D800 in stock, $2999) (body and kit in stock, $3499 and $4299)
03-ago: D800 1st, 5D3 13th and 35th (D800 in stock, $2999) (body and kit in stock, $3499 and $4299)
04-ago: D800 1st, 5D3 9th and 29th (D800 backordered again, except at affiliates at $3299) (5D3 in stock, $3499 and $4299)
06-ago: D800 6th, 5D3 16th and 43rd (5D3 in stock, $3499 and $4299)
07-ago: D800 6th, 5D3 13th and 29th (5D3 in stock, $3464 and $4299)
08-ago: D800 5th, 5D3 12th and 31st (5D3 in stock, $3464 and $4299)
09-ago: D800 6th, 5D3 12th and 27th (5D3 in stock, $3464 and $4299)
10-ago: D800 1st, 5D3 9th and 29th (D800 in stock, $2999) (5D3 in stock, $3464 and $4299)
11-ago: D800 1st, 5D3 12th and 36th (D800 in stock, $2999) (5D3 in stock, $3464 and $4299)
13-ago: D800 3rd, 5D3 13th and 49th (D800 backordered, $2999) (5D3 in stock, $3464 and $4299)
14-ago: D800 5th, 5D3 8th and 24th (D800 backordered, $2999) (5D3 in stock, $3464 and $4299)
.