Sigma's CEO has spoken around the issue in several interviews, most notably the recent one where the Petapixel crew visited him in Japan. My impression was that he wasn't able to speak because of an active provision that prevented him from speaking. He's a stand-up guy, and I'd put more faith in what he says (or indicates he can't say) versus a whole sack of OEM company executives.
An impression is a lot different than what he actually said. He has never directly addressed anything on the topic. Sure he's a nice guy, why does he get more credit for not saying anything? Insinuating that an executive at Canon would lie when he could have just said the usual "we don't comment" that they're quite good at.
Canon says, there's no differentiation between APS-C/FF lenses, they don't collaborate at all on products and they have no idea what Sigma's roadmap would be. They said three direct things on the topic, but Mr Sigma is a nice guy.... so....
Someone at Canon Europe says something, it's probably more a guess than actual knowledge. Canon Inc. isn't opening up about their business to subsidiaries. They buy gear from Canon Inc, and then they go sell it. That's it.
OEM relationships wouldn't play a role at all, unless there was transparent exclusivity, which there obviously isn't. Tamron does stuff for Nikon, Tamron also does a bunch of other things. Nikon is closer to exclusivity with an eyewear company than anyone in imaging. Cosina/Voigtlander make elements (and entire lenses) for a pile of companies, they don't seem to be restricted from doing whatever they want. They compete directly against a brand they make lenses for, in the exact same space. No business would sign on to restrict themselves.
Look at the L-Mount alliance, none of those companies are restricted from doing whatever the heck they want. They are pooling some resources like is done in tons of industries, and then directly competing with each other.