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Eh, I think that's looking at it the wrong way. While it is the cheaper option, it's still a $1000+ camera, and Canon doesnt refresh those as frequently. I think we're definitely a year out from a new 6D, and the 5dIV will probably come before it.dgatwood said:Seriously? I was surprised that we didn't see a new rev of the 6D at Photokina two months ago. As the Rebel of the full-frame line, I'd expect the 6D's refresh rate to be a lot closer to the 1-year Rebel rate than the 4-year high-end body rate. By two years from now, other manufacturers will be eating their lunch at the low end.
racebit said:To me it is very clear that:
1D is 2015,
5D is 2016,
6D is 2017.
dgatwood said:Seriously? I was surprised that we didn't see a new rev of the 6D at Photokina two months ago.Marsu42 said:I'm giving the 6d another 2 years, one year until the 5d4 release, another year to trickle down innovations to the little brother.
jvandermerwe said:The 6D is definitely NOT a Pro camera, and not even a semi-Pro. It is nothing more than an entry level FF camera. Most people I know that have them, want to get rid of them.
It's not just things that move that benefit from the 5D3 61 point AF array...shooting portraits with a shallow DOF is a breeze with the 5D3 with the 61 point AF array with up to 41 cross-type AF sensors available (depending on the maximum aperture of the lens mounted on the camera). This is more AF points than any other FF EOS camera except the 1D-X. And surpassed by the APS-C 7DII. Being able to drop an AF point right on the subject's eye without focus/re-composing is brilliant. This is not an option with 5D2 or 6D, and the main reason I've eBay'd my otherwise brilliant little travel camera, the SL1/100D. Once you've worked with 45 or 61 AF points, it's a frustration working with anything less.Zv said:If you shoot things that move I recommend you stretch for a 5D Mk3, the AF capabilities are well worth the extra. The 6D is quite basic in that regard. (I miss my 7D's 19 cross type points!)
Skulls said:Thank you all for your help!
Judging by your replies and everything else I've read, I don't think it's wise to jump the Canon wagon right now. There are too many uncertainties there. I don't feel like investing in lenses and accessories, based on guesses and hopes.
Canon, like every other company, make money and they'll do whatever's best for them, not for me.
So, I'm going to wait until the end of December and if there are still no FF news coming from Canon, I'll go with Nikon D750 and 24-70. It's out of the question to wait another 6 months or more to find out IF their majesty, Canon are going to do something. Not just because I'm impatient - simply because life is too short to be wasted on blind expectations.
Cheers!
Skulls said:I don't feel like investing in lenses and accessories, based on guesses and hopes.
Skulls said:So, I'm going to wait until the end of December and if there are still no FF news coming from Canon, I'll go with Nikon D750 and 24-70.
Marsu42 said:Skulls said:I don't feel like investing in lenses and accessories, based on guesses and hopes.
"Investing" isn't smart with any brand as you're bound to lose a lot of €€€. It's pure consumption unless you're a pro making money with the gear.
Skulls said:So, I'm going to wait until the end of December and if there are still no FF news coming from Canon, I'll go with Nikon D750 and 24-70.
The d750 seems to be a terrific camera and thus a good choice. Note that brands isn't all about sensors and release dates, a lot of people go Canon for the good ergonomics and cps service.
e17paul said:It also depends upon available lenses. For example, I have become attached to my 24 IS
tayassu said:round and round it goes, where it stops nobody knows...
dilbert said:Remember that the vast majority (around 95%) of people never buy another lens after their original purchase of a DSLR.
dgatwood said:dilbert said:Remember that the vast majority (around 95%) of people never buy another lens after their original purchase of a DSLR.
Also, to the extent that the "never upgrade" thing is true, it means that the manufacturers need to improve their kit lenses, because a lot of folks won't upgrade, and will be daunted by the low-quality images that they get compare with what they were expecting. This leads to people giving up before they find a reason to buy a better lens.
jvandermerwe said:racebit said:To me it is very clear that:
1D is 2015,
5D is 2016,
6D is 2017.
When did you dream this? The 5Diii will for sure be replaced before the summer of 2015. The 5Diii's rival was the Nikon D800, and they have already released their next release = the D810. Canon wont stay behind. Expect the announcement by end of February 2015, to be available end of March, early April 2015.
Zv said:dgatwood said:dilbert said:Remember that the vast majority (around 95%) of people never buy another lens after their original purchase of a DSLR.
Also, to the extent that the "never upgrade" thing is true, it means that the manufacturers need to improve their kit lenses, because a lot of folks won't upgrade, and will be daunted by the low-quality images that they get compare with what they were expecting. This leads to people giving up before they find a reason to buy a better lens.
It could also be said that by creating a really good kit lens that performs exceptionally it might dissuade people from upgrading or purchasing a second lens. I think the IQ of the kit lenses available now is already pretty good.
I'll add that I thought the 18-55 kit lens (the older version without STM) was the best thing since sliced bread .... Until I bought the plastic fantastic 50mm f/1.8, that blew me away and was almost certainly the gateway lens for my gear lust! That's smart marketing from Canon! IQ improves but then you thirst for AF speed, and so the endless cycle continues! Hahaha!
That you've made some numbers up to justify your 95% statistic.dilbert said:dgatwood said:dilbert said:Remember that the vast majority (around 95%) of people never buy another lens after their original purchase of a DSLR.
I'd love to know how someone can generate such statistics. I mean, you can't correlate sales figures, because you have no idea whether people are buying a body to replace an existing one or buying one fresh. And you can't even assume that people who buy one with a kit lens are new buyers, because they might turn around and sell the lens on eBay at more than the difference in price between the kit and the body-only price, or they might be buying the kit lens to have as a "beater" lens for when they go to the beach or whatever.
...
If I sell 100 lenses and the breakdown is...
87 in single kits lenses
8 in double lens kits
And another 5 aren't in kits, what can you conclude about lens sales?
What is a manufacturer such as Canon or Nikon or Sony going to conclude?