Place your bets! What do you think the R3 will cost?

FrenchFry

Wildlife enthusiast!
Jun 14, 2020
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Here's some guesswork based on the latest Nokishita leaks:

The Nokishita tweet states that VAT of about 20% is included in the price 6099 euro price.
I think France and Austria both have VAT of 20%, and their R5 price is 4500 euros. Since the USD price is $3900, you can divide the 4500 euro number by 1.154 to get the number in dollars for the R5.

If the number stayed exactly the same (1.154) we would get a pre-tax price of $5286.

Now, taking a look at the more recent prices leaked, to see if 1.154 is consistent...

For the 16mm lens, 350 Euros (european leaked price with 20% VAT) divided by 1.167 is $300 (USA leaked price). (Using 1.167 would give a projected R3 price of $5228)
For the 100-400mm lens, 750 Euros (european leaked price with 20% VAT) divided by 1.153 is $650 (USA leaked price). (Using 1.1583 would give a projected R3 price of $5285)

So, assuming the Nokishita leaked price is correct (their tweet says that the pricing is not final and still being edited), and assuming 20% VAT (again per Nokishita), and also assuming that the Euro to USD conversion factor used by Canon stays consistent with the factor used for the R5, 16mm, and 100-400mm, then we would see a pre-tax price in the range $5228-5286, which can be generalized to $5200-$5300.

This is a lot of assumptions.

Side note: $5200 would be "squarely between" the launch prices of the R5 and 1DXiii.
 
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