The likelihood of a Canon EOS R6 Mark III this year is near zero

Sony released their counterclaim to Canon USA's similar claim
https://petapixel.com/2024/02/08/ca...rless-brand-in-the-u-s-for-3rd-straight-year/

but the devil is in the detail ie "It turns out that close inspection did show that Canon was moving more units of mirrorless cameras while Sony was leading on total value." so it depends on what you are measuring so they are probably both correct. That said, it is again just one geographic region albeit a large one with China, Japan and Europe also being significant regions.

One thing is for sure is that the report that they are both referring to exceeding expensive to obtain so the real data is hard for most to access and analyse
Although I don't really care who is leading the race (which company sells more units and which of them has more revenue), but I have a feeling that it is better for the company when it sells more units because then it brings more lens sales (especially if the system is closed to third parties), more flashes, batteries, battery grips, adapters...
 
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Depends on the mark ii. 5d mark II was pretty hyped when that came out. But the camera market was very different at the time and the 5dii was a pretty drastic update as far as mark ii updates go. Canon also played the marketing game well with that camera (all sorts of articles about how the season finale for House was shot on a 5DII and that sorta thing).

I think the headline stats looking the same played a big role like you note. And I think sharing the spotlight with the R1 didn’t help the R5II’s perception, especially since the lukewarm reception to the R1 dominated the news cycle.

How much any of that is relevant to actual sales, who knows. Even if the reception was stellar, inflation / economic issues would probably hamper things regardless (unlike say 2020 when a bunch of people all of a sudden had some stimulus money and a whole lot of free time)
I had a feeling you'd mention the 5D2, the exception that proves the rule. That's why I said "rarely" :p Generally I agree though. Just one thing, I would observe (having lurked on these forums for about a decade) that Canon's products get a harsh reception initially but are often praised down the line, and their sales speak for themselves.
 
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Generally I agree though. Just one thing, I would observe (having lurked on these forums for about a decade) that Canon's products get a harsh reception initially but are often praised down the line, and their sales speak for themselves.
It could be that Canon designs their cameras with users in mind, while Sony designs their cameras with YouTube (p)reviewers in mind.
 
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I am amazed how much my kids (~30 years old) are influenced in their decision making by google reviews, personal friends instead of doing detailed research themselves. From restaurants to appliances to cameras.
I would have thought 'twas ever thus - that people "doing detailed research" were always the minority. And speaking as someone who is in that minority, it still ultimately boils down to, whose opinion do I trust, and taking a minor leap of faith, so a lot of the research may simply be reinforcing a sense of control in one's decision making.
 
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I would have thought 'twas ever thus - that people "doing detailed research" were always the minority.
Years ago, in many cases people could walk into a camera shop and get recommendations from a knowledgeable sales person. One could also try out a piece of gear, to check the ergonomics…something that no amount of Internet research can really replace.

Of course, not all sales people were actually knowledgeable, just like not all Internet reviewers are trustworthy. Sales people might be biased by directives to push a particular brand, because of better terms from that manufacturer or excess stock. Internet reviewers tend to be biased toward whatever piece of gear is newest and in stock so they can get affiliate link revenue from an immediate purchase.

And speaking as someone who is in that minority, it still ultimately boils down to, whose opinion do I trust, and taking a minor leap of faith, so a lot of the research may simply be reinforcing a sense of control in one's decision making.
I am also in that minority, but then, I do research for a living.
 
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I am amazed how much my kids (~30 years old) are influenced in their decision making by google reviews, personal friends instead of doing detailed research themselves. From restaurants to appliances to cameras.
Being in the early 30s myself... I guess I would ask what constitutes 'detailed research' to you. I like to think I do some research for most purchases I make, but I also do feel that user reviews and such are a part of that information gathering step.
 
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So for me it is like a very difficult situation and decision, because if those manufacturers are keep doing their jobs of updating every 2-3 years then we are at their mercy, i mean i stopped buying bodies or even lenses since 2013-2104 because it is endless upgrading.

For now i don't have any Canon R body camera, and i asked a lot around for the options to buy as replacement to my old DSLRs and i got like 2 or 3 options, but now with new cameras are out or soon to be out i have to stop and think again, i don't want to buy R8 if R8II will be out next year, i don't want to buy R5 if R5II is already here, i don't want R6 if R6II is already out for a while and people waiting the successor MKIII, i can't afford R1, and R3 sounds like a cheaper lower end of R1, so for me it is something between R5II if i can afford or R6III so i have to wait, or R6II and ignore the new MKIII and wait until maybe 2026-2027 to see what will be out by then.
 
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Being in the early 30s myself... I guess I would ask what constitutes 'detailed research' to you. I like to think I do some research for most purchases I make, but I also do feel that user reviews and such are a part of that information gathering step.
In regards to ILCs, I honestly think detailed research is not especially productive. ILCs have had decades to evolve, the technology is mature, and the reality is that if you can't take great pictures with any current ILC, the problem is behind the camera. I think what helps is to have a good understanding of the overall offerings of a system, because that's what you're buying into. Are the lenses you might want available. Most importantly, are the cameras easy and comfortable to use.
 
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So, what are people looking for in R6III that isn't in R6II? How much improvements they want with new camera to be a significant upgrade?

For me, i only have 1DX and 1D3 and 30D as my fast cameras, i will see those or keep only 1DX and buy an R camera, all told me that most R bodies just outperformed my 1DX in every aspects except 1 or 2 areas, to me it is like i have to just give up my old cameras sooner or later, i am good with my DSLRs, i sopped photography since 2015, but i am planning to be back maybe end of this year or next year, so i am looking for a new camera to use rather than my old ones, i don't know if i can sell my old cameras or not, but i won't stop to buy something, i can't afford R5II mainly now, i can afford R6II, but i don't want to buy something now that the upgrade is already available or will be out soon then i feel like i regret not waiting.
 
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So for me it is like a very difficult situation and decision, because if those manufacturers are keep doing their jobs of updating every 2-3 years then we are at their mercy, i mean i stopped buying bodies or even lenses since 2013-2104 because it is endless upgrading.
At their core, modern cameras are computer-based technologies. Even the sensors are manufactured using the same basic methods as computer chips. So it's no surprise that the upgrade cycle is similar. Conversely, the useful life of these items is typically much longer than the upgrade cycle. I saw no need to upgrade my 1D X to its successors, and kept using it as my primary camera until the R3 came out. I will get the R1, but honestly it's a want not a need.

Similarly, my 2019 16" Core i9 MacBook Pro is still working fine. I have considered replacing it mainly because my son keeps wanting to borrow it (the 2010 17" MacBook Pro he's been using still works, but struggles with Roblox). But it seems very likely that new M4 MacBook Pros will be announced in Oct/Nov, so I'm going to wait to buy one rather than getting the current M3 (even though the M3 will meet my needs just fine).

So, what are people looking for in R6III that isn't in R6II? How much improvements they want with new camera to be a significant upgrade?

For me, i only have 1DX and 1D3 and 30D as my fast cameras...
I think most of those with an R6II will not seriously consider an R6III, regardless. Rather, the target market for the R6III will be users of 6-series DSLRs, R8 users, and APS-C camera users. Similarly, though people on gear forums like this one complain that the R5II doesn't offer much over the R5, and YouTubers make a living comparing each new model to its immediate predecessor, the real target market of the R5II is owners of 5-and 6-series DSLRs, and owners of lower lines that want to move up.
 
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I think what helps is to have a good understanding of the overall offerings of a system, because that's what you're buying into. Are the lenses you might want available. Most importantly, are the cameras easy and comfortable to use.
Yeah I guess I would consider all of that as part of the research phase. Last part being a bit more difficult to figure out these days with brick and mortar stores slowly dying (I think I'd have to drive a hundred miles to get to my nearest 'real' camera store).

I definitely agree that the bodies themselves are all more than capable for just about any type of photography.

So, what are people looking for in R6III that isn't in R6II? How much improvements they want with new camera to be a significant upgrade?
So for me after using the R6II for a year, what I found myself wanting was more resolution and less rolling shutter, which is why I ended up upgrading to the R5II. Which ended up coming with some nice bonuses like even better AF, a more usable pre-capture function, better OOC color rendering, and that sort of thing.

For a R6III I suspect the main improvement will be speed / rolling shutter - hence why I think it'll get the R3 sensor, perhaps having changes to the AA filter, microlenses etc. People who want more resolution would be encouraged to go with the R5 or R5II
 
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At their core, modern cameras are computer-based technologies. Even the sensors are manufactured using the same basic methods as computer chips. So it's no surprise that the upgrade cycle is similar. Conversely, the useful life of these items is typically much longer than the upgrade cycle. I saw no need to upgrade my 1D X to its successors, and kept using it as my primary camera until the R3 came out. I will get the R1, but honestly it's a want not a need.

Similarly, my 2019 16" Core i9 MacBook Pro is still working fine. I have considered replacing it mainly because my son keeps wanting to borrow it (the 2010 17" MacBook Pro he's been using still works, but struggles with Roblox). But it seems very likely that new M4 MacBook Pros will be announced in Oct/Nov, so I'm going to wait to buy one rather than getting the current M3 (even though the M3 will meet my needs just fine).


I think most of those with an R6II will not seriously consider an R6III, regardless. Rather, the target market for the R6III will be users of 6-series DSLRs, R8 users, and APS-C camera users. Similarly, though people on gear forums like this one complain that the R5II doesn't offer much over the R5, and YouTubers make a living comparing each new model to its immediate predecessor, the real target market of the R5II is owners of 5-and 6-series DSLRs, and owners of lower lines that want to move up.
When people told me that those R models such as R1 R3 R5 and R6 and even R8 all will outperform my 1DX then it became for me like a very difficult task or mission to upgrade, because there are like 8 options rather than 2-3 only, and if i narrowed down to only very latest then it will be expensive a bit which mean i have to wait to save and afford, and waiting is the main problem as well if there will be something new again, but it sounds that R1 and R5II will be around for like 2-3 years, but both are expensive, while R6II is 2 years old, so i can't think about R6 to be my choice for another 5-10 years for example, and definitely i won't buy a new camera of 2024-2025 to upgrade it in 2028 if i am still alive, but definitely i buy the last current model available if i can afford it, and R6III price will be cheaper than R1 and R5II.
 
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Yeah I guess I would consider all of that as part of the research phase. Last part being a bit more difficult to figure out these days with brick and mortar stores slowly dying (I think I'd have to drive a hundred miles to get to my nearest 'real' camera store).

I definitely agree that the bodies themselves are all more than capable for just about any type of photography.


So for me after using the R6II for a year, what I found myself wanting was more resolution and less rolling shutter, which is why I ended up upgrading to the R5II. Which ended up coming with some nice bonuses like even better AF, a more usable pre-capture function, better OOC color rendering, and that sort of thing.

For a R6III I suspect the main improvement will be speed / rolling shutter - hence why I think it'll get the R3 sensor, perhaps having changes to the AA filter, microlenses etc. People who want more resolution would be encouraged to go with the R5 or R5II
That means for a replacement for my 1DX and 1D3 and 30D i have to just buy R5II if i can afford it and hold on it until another model coming out such as R6III or R8II or even R7II that can be a backup for my R5II, for sports and wildlife/birds i only need 2 cameras because i use mainly two lenses, one long prime and one telephoto zoom, but because my EF300mm is very old i can't get rid of it to buy newer model so i will hold on 1DX for this lens while my 70-200 MKII can be used with a new R model [with adapter] nicely.
 
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When people told me that those R models such as R1 R3 R5 and R6 and even R8 all will outperform my 1DX then it became for me like a very difficult task or mission to upgrade, because there are like 8 options rather than 2-3 only...
For me, it came down to why I bought the 1D X in the first place. I had previously used a 7D and a 5DII, both with battery grips. The 1D X essentially merged the FF sensor of the 5-series with the speed of the 7-series, and I found the integrated grip far more ergonomically friendly than the add-ons. I bought an EOS R soon after it came out, and used it for travel as I now use an R8. But the 1D X remained my primary camera until Canon came out with an integrated grip MILC. So I'll buy the R1 to replace the R3, since the former will be the top of the line. But I will likely keep using the R1 for 8-10 years, as I did with the 1D X, and pass on the R1 II and III when they launch.
 
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For me, it came down to why I bought the 1D X in the first place. I had previously used a 7D and a 5DII, both with battery grips. The 1D X essentially merged the FF sensor of the 5-series with the speed of the 7-series, and I found the integrated grip far more ergonomically friendly than the add-ons. I bought an EOS R soon after it came out, and used it for travel as I now use an R8. But the 1D X remained my primary camera until Canon came out with an integrated grip MILC. So I'll buy the R1 to replace the R3, since the former will be the top of the line. But I will likely keep using the R1 for 8-10 years, as I did with the 1D X, and pass on the R1 II and III when they launch.
The good thing for you but bad thing for me is that you can afford or get those but me no, i was able to buy so many Canon DSLRs in the past because i was working in a job and didn't have another hobbies, now without a job so not good enough income and another hobbies i feel like i can't keep buying new cameras every 4-5 years, before i could buy a camera every 1-3 years span, not anymore, i don't have any R model at all now, so if i buy one i will make sure it can be the best option over my 1DX and 1Ds3 and 1D3 and 30D.

I already started with 1D IIn in the past for sports so i used to 1 series line, i went with 1D3 and last 1DX as upgrades, 1DX is amazing and served me nice, i stopped photography but i know it is still capable for sports, while for 1D3 and 30D they are almost out of use, i only use 1D3 to mount my 70-200 on it rather than swapping lenses on 1DX, so if i buy one R body now then that can be a big replacement for 1D3 and maybe even better than 1DX so it will be the main body and 1DX is the backup, and in future maybe like 2-4 years i might afford a second R body that can be either a main or a backup for any current R body i can buy and get rid of 1DX completely, but i can't get rid of EF 300mm f2.8 mk1 because i bought it new and i can't afford any prime lens from Canon starting from 300mm up to 600mm, so that i didn't want to give up 1DX yet, but i am ready to give up my 1D3 and 5D and 30D and 1Ds2/3 and 30D and even Sony A7R, actually i will get rid of A7R with 1Ds2/3 and 5D to buy A7R5 or newer 60mp+ camera.
 
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Years ago, in many cases people could walk into a camera shop and get recommendations from a knowledgeable sales person. One could also try out a piece of gear, to check the ergonomics…something that no amount of Internet research can really replace.
We still have a few - Wex have locations in major UK cities and their staff seem to care - but tbh trying before buying was never for me. At worst, we can return items so long as they're in good condition, within a time frame that's probably enough to make a judgment. But I found reading enough reviews - and I mean especially by members of the public - I was rarely negatively surprised by anything (the front-heavy nature of the EF 85 f/1.2 II springs to mind). I guess for early adopters that's no use, because it can take years for enough amateur reviews to accumulate. But personally I would never pay the preorder premium anyway.

There were one or two cases where prolonged use taught me an item wasn't for me (the EF 70-200 f/2.8 due to softness at MFD, the EF 400 f/5.6 for its lack of IS), but it took weeks or months to learn that, so firing a few test shots in a store probably wouldn't have helped.
 
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We still have a few - Wex have locations in major UK cities and their staff seem to care - but tbh trying before buying was never for me. At worst, we can return items so long as they're in good condition, within a time frame that's probably enough to make a judgment. But I found reading enough reviews - and I mean especially by members of the public - I was rarely negatively surprised by anything (the front-heavy nature of the EF 85 f/1.2 II springs to mind). I guess for early adopters that's no use, because it can take years for enough amateur reviews to accumulate. But personally I would never pay the preorder premium anyway.

There were one or two cases where prolonged use taught me an item wasn't for me (the EF 70-200 f/2.8 due to softness at MFD, the EF 400 f/5.6 for its lack of IS), but it took weeks or months to learn that, so firing a few test shots in a store probably wouldn't have helped.
I’m in Boston, and there are brick-and-mortar options here, as well. By ergonomics I was thinking mainly just how a camera body feels in-hand. But you have a good point that unless it’s strikingly bad (like the first time I picked up a sharp-edged Sony), it often takes a fair bit of use to tell.

With lenses, reviews and test results are typically sufficient. There have only been a few lenses I wasn’t really sure if I wanted, and those I bought used via Craigslist for an extended trial. My instincts were almost perfectly accurate – every lens but one that I bought used I ended up selling after 6 months to 2 years of use, and overall I ended up in the black on those transactions (the one lens I kept was the MP-E 65). I’ve definitely sold off more lenses that I bought new, but not because I ended up not liking them (offloading EF-S lenses after going FF, offloading EF lenses after getting RF replacements, or just when a lens that better met my needs came along (e.g., I swapped the EF 16-35/2.8L II for the EF 16-35/4L since <1% of my shots with the former were wider than f/4 anyway).
 
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Being in the early 30s myself... I guess I would ask what constitutes 'detailed research' to you. I like to think I do some research for most purchases I make, but I also do feel that user reviews and such are a part of that information gathering step.
My experience with 30 year olds is clearly limited but tiktok/reel influencers, google reviews and same-age friends seems to have disproportionate weight compared to less-biased and more knowledgeable reviewers / "independent" journalism from multiple sources. From restaurants to renovations to cameras, it just seems to be a different methodology.

Clearly, the internet has changed the environment massively from industry magazines having employees writing articles. I get that "kids" don't like getting advice from parents but I was chatting to a friend of my daughter about stuff and my daughter then said "how do you know so much?"... I was flummoxed but ended up saying "because I read".
 
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