Bob Howland said:
neuroanatomist said:
dSLRs continue to outsell MILCs by a wide margin? Based on published sales data, it's quite probable that sales of Canon Rebel/xxxD dSLRs exceed those of all MILCs on the market from all brands combined.
And how much of the dSLR sales advantage is due to sheer inertia? There are an awful lot of legacy Nikon and Canon lenses out there. Largely ignoring the MILC market certainly works as a short term strategy but I question its viability over the long haul, >3-5 years.
Sales numbers and public statements from Canon and Nikon are consistent with entry-level bodies
with kit lenses, suggesting that legacy lenses might not be a huge factor. OTOH, the inertia of public perception (i.e., dSLRs are the higher end product, particularly in North America) may be a big factor.
Canon and Nikon haven't totally ignored the MILC market, but both of their initial forays (EOS M, Nikon 1) were basically flops as far as global sales. I don't know that Sony/Fuji/Oly/Samsung will change that, but Canon and/or Nikon jumping in with both feet could change the significant dSLR sales lead. By that I mean multiple levels of bodies including FF offerings, a robust collection of format-specific lenses (no adapter needed), etc., basically an ecosystem like their dSLR lines. We'll likely see things heading that direction someday, but given current market shares it doesn't seem in Canon's or Nikon's best interests.
Bob Howland said:
I think the Samsung NX1 is potentially a "game-changer". (Sorry, but I hate that expression.) How are Canon and Nikon going to respond if Samsung introduces an NX1-derivative that has 16MP and a revised/refined user interface and does 25 full resolution frames per second, but loses a stop in high-ISO image quality, compared to the 1Dx and D4s, due to its smaller sensor size? Such a camera may happen later this year.
Most likely, Canon and Nikon won't see any need to respond to what amounts to a niche product with a very limited native lens collection.
Edit: maybe they'll respond by suing Samsung for design patent infringement if the camera's corners are too rounded...