privatebydesign said:
K said:
privatebydesign said:
Rockwell is an idiot, a smart one, who will say anything for page hits.
The 5DS/R are not 5D MkIII replacements, there will be a 5D MkIV and probably a 5DC too to round out the leveraging of the 5 series name.
The 'blowout' prices are because of currency fluctuations, the very strong dollar, and the fact that the USA is a dominant expendable income market. Essentially it is easier and more profitable for, for instance, Thai importers to resell their inventory Grey market in the USA for a stronger currency at what seem like cheap local prices that when converted back to Baht actually make them more money than retail in Thailand.
I just checked one major retailer, and the 5D3 with printer kit after rebate is now $2549
It is dropping a bit quick for a replacement camera that is supposed to be coming no earlier than November.
I think the key is 4K video.
Is there any reason why Canon would NOT put 4K in a 5D camera? I think it would be a disaster if they don't. Only way would be they plan to just include it in the next 1DX and just have a single flagship that literally does everything well (except super high megapixels). I think that is a bad idea to keep 4K video at an over $5K price point. What is Nikon's roadmap for including 4K in a DSLR? If it isn't anytime soon, why should Canon rush to it? Who knows..
If they release a 5DC...then why would there also be a Mark IV? Four total cameras in the 5D range...a bit excessive.
5DC, a 4K camera with 18MP, and great low light. That could justify the $3800 price range.
The 6D Mark II, essentially a 2nd generation 5D3 will fill the gap as the basic, all-around DSLR in the $2.5K price range.
Personally I think 4K is overblown, the kind of "I need it" feature that people say they want but when they get it it isn't what they thought, like 54MP in a 135 format camera. Sure some people do need it, but most of us don't.
For a start 4K is a pain to work with, it is expensive and time consuming to work with too. Also, while shooting larger than 1080 makes huge sense for cropping and stabilization, shooting 4k at 4k brings back all those issues you just overcame, you don't need to shoot 4k to get good cropping and stabilization capability in true 1080.
From a marketing point of view, sure the 5?? will have to have 4k, but really? Besides, I can see the best route for Canon being the 5DS, 5DSR, a 5D MkIV with limited 4K 28MP and boosted specs all around, and a 5DC that has a low MP sensor and all the video functionality the 1DC has with the option of internal 4k to CFast, headphone socket, Log Gamma etc etc. Meanwhile the 6D MkII will be the guts of the 5D MkIII in a poly shell with a couple of bits taken out and a couple of extras thrown in, well that is Canon history and there is no reason to suppose it should be different to any major degree
And, even at $2549 for a 5D MkIII now, that is realizing over ¥300,000, three years ago it sold for $3,499 and the exchange rate made that ¥290,000. In other words, it is retailing for more money to the Japanese now than it did three years ago and inflation in Japan is zero!
I personally think 4K and any video in a DSLR is useless. But that's me. Dedicated video cameras are better. But...if Canon dodges 4K...all the video people will freak out and whine and moan about it across the internet for a long time. Being that Canon themselves claim to be cinema/video focused in DSLR's....and there's a respectable segment of video users - it would be bad. Plus, Nikon could release it first in a lower level DSLR and that would be a huge blow to Canon.
Truth is, 4K implementation doesn't have to be perfect. Sadly, it is all about marketing. They could add this capability, even if in a very primitive form. The same way HD video started off. At the start, it wasn't 60fps. ...Better to have, and not be perfect, than not to have at all. Because the competition will have it sooner or later.
Now, aside from the video/cinema angle Canon says they're all about - they promote themselves as being low-light kings. We know for a fact the 5DS isn't a low light camera maxing out at 6400 ISO native. Thus, it stands to reason there is some kind of low-light camera on the way.
I do not believe there will be 2 more models of 5D. Having 4 total models in the line would be ridiculous.
Canon has produced for the studio, landscapers and still shooters with the 5DS. A megapixel beast. It has also produced for the sports and wildlife guys with the 7D Mark II - a speed demon with killer AF.
What is left? Video and serious low light. Those two features are related to one another. Thus, a 5DX is more likely. A sensor anywhere from 18-30 MP, native ISO to 51K and 4K video. It can be priced right with the 5DS line.
That would make sense.
One question is - what becomes of the lower end FF market segment? Does Canon keep the 6D in the same price range it originally was as an entry level, crippled FF camera? Or do they move it up? Why move it up? The idea to that is that there is a void in the lineup and price brackets. True, but Canon may not think that at all.
Sure, for entry level FF, here's your crippled FF camera at round $2,200. If you want a serious FF, you pay $3,500 or more. That is how it used to be. Canon made you spend at least $1,200 more to make the jump.
Now, if that happens - Nikon will love it. Because they will offer very capable FF DSLR's for under $2,500. The D610 and D750 have good AF, good sensors, double card slots and other great features that the 6D does not have. Nikon will own that segment. Will Canon surrender it? Possible. If Canon believes the 7D Mark II to be that good, they might feel that is "entry level" pro camera - with the 6D being a FF at a bit more and that's that. Foolish in my opinion as no one considers a crop camera truly "pro"
Ok, so the opposite is that the 6D moves upmarket like the rumors say. Ok, by how much? Can't be too close to $3K...because at that point people will just save up, wait for rebates and sales, and just spend $3,300 - $3,400 for the 5D line instead.
If the 6D moves up to the $2,500 range...then Nikon now owns the entry level FF market as the D610 is going for $1,600. $1,000 is a big difference in this price bracket. These aren't flagships.
I don't know, it all depends. Nikon has positioned themselves all across the spectrum and have various levels covered. Nikon does not have the diversity of cameras that Canon does. They are all mostly similar, with incremental improvements going up the chain, with the exception of the D810 being 36MP. The rest of the features are close. In contrast to Canon who has a 7D2 sports camera, then a 5DS high MP camera - they are more specialized and seem to be going for specialization.
The pride Canon has for the 7D2, and the attitude they display in interviews and marketing leads me to believe they actually fancy it as fitting into an entry level pro camera. For all practical purposes (and Canon is very practical about photography, which is why they don't get hung up with nonsense) it is all about the usefulness and IQ - not whether it is crop or FF. And yes, the 7D2 will be used by pros for all kinds of things, including weddings. In the end, it is good enough. But for marketing perspective and all the photography nerds out there -it's NOT FULL FRAME. Thus, not a "real" IQ competitor to Nikon D610.
If the above is true, maybe that's it for the line up? 7D at the entry level, 6D as a midrange, and then the 5D line with the 3 specialty cameras up top.
Any other theory demands that Canon either:
1. Create a whole other model of camera (unlikely)
2. Loads up the 6D with enough features and power to cover everything the D610 and D750 can do (unlikely, because that camera will be so good, who will pay for the 5D4? - not me lol )