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Albi86 said:privatebydesign said:You can make or agree with hyperbolic comments like "Well, the days of Canon/Nikon taking their own sweet time to update lenses is likely drawing to a close." or you can look at the ample evidence that it is not. Don't forget for one second Canon knows to the exact number the market for the 24mm f1.4 premium lens at the price point they are prepared to sell them at. Nowadays it seems the one who shouts loudest or wishes the most gets the most followers, that doesn't make what they are shouting accurate.
I think you are neglecting one important point.
Canon has a multilayer interest in producing lenses. First of all they produce a revenue on their own, otherwise they wouldn't design, manufacture and sell them. Differently from kit lenses and consumer cameras, the target market of expensive lenses is more opinionated and sensitive to quality. The moment you offer them better quality at a lower price, you make them interested. More and more as time goes by and both Sigma and Tamron become established as quality manufacturers.
Second, many people are with Canon because of the lenses and their reputation to be the best. The moment this changes, a big reason for having a Canon system is gone - especially if you take into account that other manufacturers offer better sensors too. So the availability of quality lenses and cameras in different mounts is eventually going to affect camera sales too. Case in point, the latest market share data for Japan showed that Canon is still the market leader but did lose some share. Sigma btw has a quite considerable share of the lens market.
So as someone stated before, Canon executives are not likely to start pulling their hair already, but at the same time I do agree that the Canon/Nikon duopoly is over and that both companies should really rethink their strategy.
Considering the ratio of lenses to bodies sold, it is evident that the vast majority of buyers have only the lens that came with the camera. Bearing in mind that some kits include two lenses, and the Nifty-50 is the most popular lens sold on it's own, it is safe to say that the vast majority of the market is driven by the entry-level segment and in particular by camera bodies (feel free to argue that Sigma makes bodies too, we could use a good chuckle). While higher end lenses will remain a mainstay in Canon's lineup, a relatively small number of good quality third-party lenses is not going to have a major impact on Canon's (or Nikon's) bottom line.
Sigma's recent foray into the design and production of higher quality 'Global Vision' lenses is a major departure from their previous strategy. That suggests they decided they were not successful at competing with Canon/Nikon at the entry level end of the market, and have decided to try competing in a much smaller segment of the market. How successful they are this time remains to be seen, but the fact that the AF bugaboo is still rearing its ugly head for them suggests the road ahead may be bumpy.
Would you mind sharing the source for the recent market data to which you refer?
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