pedro said:
StudentOfLight said:
This is what I'd like to see from Canon's upgrades:
...
5D-IV - Wedding/Events/Sports/Wildlife/HD-Video (Target price $3,500)
DPAF BSI-CMOS sensor
20.2 Megapixels (5502 x 3668)
Native ISO range: 64-51,200
Expanded ISO range: 32-204,800
10fps (200,000 actuations)
71pt AF (all cross-type)
15pt active with max aperture of f/8
...
This looks intresting. "Native" ISO 51k, Yes Sir.
This would give us some very nice ISO 25k.
That is a misunderstanding. Any camera can be updated to support "native" ISO's higher than their predecessor's maximums. That actually has nothing to do with IQ, though. It's just a configurable setting, that's all. The sensor would actually have to gather more light to make the prior "highest" setting better. Cameras are already at 60% Q.E. At best, we'll be able to get 40% more, but it is unlikely we'll see much more than 80-90% with consumer-grade sensors. That means we can get reasonably expect 20% more Q.E. over what we have now...quite some time down the road off into the future (Canon was improving Q.E. by 2-3% per generation for a long time there.)
I could see Canon going to 64% Q.E. tops with the next generation, although I kind of doubt it will be that high...it'll probably stay around 59-60%. If Canon starts strengthening the CFA again, that will reduce EQE, which will affect the total amount of light reaching the photodiode. IQE may reamain the same or higher...but it'll still be working with less light...so in the grand scheme of things, we
could see WORSE ISO 25600 if the 5D IV got 51200.
Assuming Canon came right out with a 20% improvement over current Q.E. and the 5D IV hit with 80%, we still wouldn't see a factor-of-two reduction in noise at ISO 25600. We would see about a 25% improvement at best...and that is barely going to be noticeable under scrutinization.
Increases in maximum selectable ISO don't really have any bearing on whether that actually means less noise. Increases in Q.E. can mean improvements in noise...however there is both IQE (Internal Q.E.) an EQE (External Q.E.) The measurements we usually see give us IQE, which is just the conversion rate of photons incident on the photodiode. An increase in IQE paired with a reduction in EQE can result in worse overall performance. If we see increases in both EQE and IQE, or an increase in EQE at the same IQE, then we can see real improvements.
A truly significant increase in EQE could be made by ditching color filters entirely and moving to an MCS design, where we simply split the light via certain diffraction effects, but gather 100% of it. That kind of technology already exists...it would just need to be employed.