K said:
Apparently, some people here have no idea of internet sales and marketing works.
I think people understand it a lot better than you think.
K said:
Preorder sales numbers are always wildly inflated as many people preorder from several retailers in order to increase the odds they get their hands on the camera earlier.
Wow, that's an interesting rationalization that contradicts your bold prediction that this camera would be a failure.
People are so desperate to get their hands on the camera that they place orders with multiple retailers, yet the camera is a failure?
Even if such behavior occurs, it is irrelevant because we are only referencing one retailer's orders. If a buyer ultimately takes delivery from B&H or Adorama, they are still taking delivery.
Pre-sales are high with a new release, not because of multiple orders but because of pent-up demand.
It's too early to know for sure, of course, but robust pre-sales at nearly $4,000 a pop seems to refute your prediction of failure.
K said:
...Amazon isn't basing that on all-time sales. If that were the case, then the 5DS in preorder alone has surpassed the total sales numbers of the 5D3. Whomever believes that hasn't got a clue.
Or perhaps, anyone who thinks someone would believe that doesn't have a clue.
Amazon uses rolling sales figures. It an effective way to get an accurate picture of changing opinions or behavior.
They select a set time period and add in the latest numbers at the front end, while rolling off the numbers at the back end. Like all surveys, it's a snapshot in time, but it's a bit more accurate than simply picking a single arbitrary point in time.
BTW, as of this post, it has now gone to #2.
Is it really so painful to just admit that your prediction was wrong?