My guess would be:
R5 mkii development announcement in December 2023 followed by a gazillion teasers...
It would be available in February 2024 just before CP+
R1 in time for summer olympics.
I could imagine though that the R5 mk ii timeline might be earlier in order to have time in between the two releases.
In the past decade or so 1-Series and 5-Series cameras seemed to have had the same target release dates during their multi-year development (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024). Sometimes the 1-Series was ready for market first, at other times the 5-series was ready first. Sometimes one was announced first but the other began shipping earlier. It's probably getting close enough to the field testing phase for anything hitting the market one year from now that those on the inside know which product team is slightly ahead of the other at this point.
Upvote
0