What's Next? Lenses & Cameras

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anthros said:
It's extremely unlikely that you'll see a camera called a 4D. The number 4 is strongly associated with death in many Asian cultures, including that of Japan. When I worked in Hong Kong, my hotel didn't have a 4th floor; the button panel in the elevator went 1-2-3-5-6[...] It's a lot like the number 13 in the US.

So...4D is a no-no, but D4, that's fine? As was pointed out by someone else in another thread...if the number 4 is such a stigma in Japan, why did Nikon release a D4? They are also a Japanese company...
 
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But funnily enough the the Nikon F4 was the camera that sent Nikon into a decline, and made all of us old enough to remember swap over to Canon, so for Nikon the 4 was unlucky one already, and this new one has just been delayed with firmware glitches too!
 
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anthros said:
phischeye said:
As for the mega pixel monster, I think it is going get a smaller number in front of the D, it might be 2, 3 or 4. Since 3D might be misleading <snip> my bets are on 4D. The smaller the number, the pricier. And if it really is the 4k cinema camera, 4D makes sense.

It's extremely unlikely that you'll see a camera called a 4D. The number 4 is strongly associated with death in many Asian cultures, including that of Japan. When I worked in Hong Kong, my hotel didn't have a 4th floor; the button panel in the elevator went 1-2-3-5-6[...] It's a lot like the number 13 in the US.

I suspect "3D" or maybe "1DSX" are more likely candidates. But does it really matter what Canon calls the camera? The photos I take with my 7D wouldn't look any worse (or better) if Canon instead named it the Barbie Super-Fun Photo Cam.

Jason

So, what about the 1DMkIV? I maybe wrong, but I do not consider it as very likely not to produce a 4D. Let's get serious: Does any worker at Canon refuse to work on a 4th every month? 8) Nothing intended, just don't take anything of that without a good grain of salt. I once experienced something here in switzerland. I bought some trousers. But the had to tailor it back to my leg length. So the seller said: I have just one question, Sir. Do you mind if we prepare them for the 13th? I said, no. And asked her back: I guess you don't deny your thirteenth salary at the end of year either (swiss workers receive a thirteenth salaray by xmas). So she was puzzled for a moment and stuttered: Of course not! You are absolutely right! 8)
 
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Maestro said:
I´m sorry if things i said was upsetting to some, the thing is that i´m a very realistic person. I´m not a certain brand fanatic, though Canon is my first choice. The Nikon D800 has the same AF and metering system as the D4. 36mp and probably the best video from a dslr today. I have no doubts in my mind that Canon can make a camera just as good. But they need to hurry, they have to give us something to look forward to, not today not tomorrow, but yesterday. The sad part is that i know for a fact that a lot of people selling their canon gear and the reason is "swithing system" that´s what it says in their ads. Many doubt that Canon can match the D800. As we speak more and more are having thoughts of going to the other side. Canon should not take the D800 lightly. It´s just one camera, but it could destroy the Canon sales if Canon fails to reply right now! Show who´s boss. I always think realistic! Right now Canon is in a lot of trouble.

Well I checked eBay and other places, and have not seen a huge uptick in people dumping Canon. Wouldn't mind it, because a flood of lenses will help me round out my needs.

Video is nice, but fro me I am more concerned with pictures. Have not shot more than a minute of video on my 5D MK II. To some this is huge, to me... meh.

As I have stated... Better to produce a camera that is at the top and remains for years, than to win the initial sprint and then be fore ever behind.

So when Canon does make their moves later this year as expected, and if... nothing says it will be... but IF their specs and performance are better than Nikons, then what... Maybe all these people who panicked will be screaming on the Nikon boards... HEY we need the D850... Canon's new camera shoots 40MP and ours is only 36... They have 61 AF points and ours is only 51... They are native 12800 ISO and ours only 6400...

When will Nikon produce a decent camera... They have to respond yesterday....

Maybe they can boost the ISO to 256,000 with firmware...

NIKON??? Are you listening...

Opps... Forgot to mention... As one can see from Nikon's customer service ranking... they don't... http://www.customerservicescoreboard.com/Nikon
 
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Now, it's getting interesting. The rumors of the D800 were fixed a long time ago, and they turned out to be correct. But nobody seems to have a clue what the next Canon will be. No clue about a new APS-C sensor. Just some rumors about a 22MP sensor, which I don't believe, because it makes no sense next to the 18MP one.

What I think:
The 5D2 sold like hell, just because of the large sensor with lots of pixels. Nikon has lost quite some consumers and has just presented the answer. The D800 is the reference now and better sooner than later Canon has to release something competitive.
The fact that they've just released a new standard zoom with ultra-high optical quality should be proof enough that a >30MP camera is coming. 4k video makes no sense right now. There aren't even 4k displays on the market.

My bet is on a 3DX with ~40MP FF and the rest about the same as the 7D. Probably with a 3D lens included ;-)
 
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vlim said:
... But a great lens, affordable and weather sealed that i can use for wildlife photography that's what i'm waiting for ! ...

I believe affordable is a dying breed. This is the same company that just released an $800 lens to replace a $270 lens; $850 for $360; and a $2300 for $1350. I think 'great' and 'affordable' are becoming mutually exclusive. While Nikon is updating their cheap primes with new cheap primes (35mm f/1.8G, 50mm f/1.8G), Canon adds unnecessary features and increases the price a couple fold.
 
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KyleSTL said:
vlim said:
... But a great lens, affordable and weather sealed that i can use for wildlife photography that's what i'm waiting for ! ...

I believe affordable is a dying breed. This is the same company that just released an $800 lens to replace a $270 lens; $850 for $360; and a $2300 for $1350. I think 'great' and 'affordable' are becoming mutually exclusive. While Nikon is updating their cheap primes with new cheap primes (35mm f/1.8G, 50mm f/1.8G), Canon adds unnecessary features and increases the price a couple fold.

new lenses are always more expensive than the old ones, and also their price will drop quite fast. But I also can't understand why they didn't just release a 24-70 f/2.8 IS that covers all. The prime lenses don't make much sense.
 
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jwphotography said:
... The question is, how will the current line of lenses fare under 36+ MP scrutiny? ...

Have you seen images taken with good glass on a 7D? They are good, right? That is the same pixel density as a 46MP FF camera. A 37MP camera is equivalent to 16MP APS-C (D7000). Why is this still part of the conversation? The only APS-C/FF camera with a high density than the 7D is the Sony a77 at 24MP APS-C. Why does everyone think this is some unknown territory we have never seen before?

My 10MP XTi has a higher density sensor than the 5D Mark II, 1Dx, and D4 (would come out to be a 26.3MP FF). Can I still get pixel-level sharpness with excellent glass? The answer is yes.
 
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dilbert said:
CarebbianTraveler said:
Now, it's getting interesting. The rumors of the D800 were fixed a long time ago, and they turned out to be correct. But nobody seems to have a clue what the next Canon will be. No clue about a new APS-C sensor. Just some rumors about a 22MP sensor, which I don't believe, because it makes no sense next to the 18MP one.

You're not thinking about the competitive landscape, only Canon's products.

Canon's competitors have APS-C sensors with 24MP. Canon needs to be either at the same count or very close to it in order for it to remain part of the buying equation for many customers.

The 22 and 18MP was about the full frame sensor. I was just wondering why no APS-C rumor is around. There's a release every year and the last one was one year ago. But you're right. This year a new sensor must arrive with more pixels, especially since the kept the sensor last year.
 
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While I agree that we're not exactly lens resolution-limited, it should be noted that overall shaprness is a combination of multiple factors, and sharper lenses will yield increased overall sharpness.

KyleSTL said:
Have you seen images taken with good glass on a 7D? They are good, right? That is the same pixel density as a 46MP FF camera. Why does everyone think this is some unknown territory we have never seen before?

Because we haven't seen it before. The unknown territory is the combination of high pixel density and the perpiphery of the image circle. If you look at lens performance and/or theoretical MTF curves, you notice that lenses perform best in the center of the image circle, and that's the part that we see with an EF lens and an APS-C sensor.
 
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neuroanatomist said:
So...4D is a no-no, but D4, that's fine? As was pointed out by someone else in another thread...if the number 4 is such a stigma in Japan, why did Nikon release a D4? They are also a Japanese company...

Yeah...good point. I cleverly thought of the D4 counterexample just after I posted. I admit I'm surprised that Nikon used the number 4 in a flagship product name. Maybe the 4=death thing is something westerners fixate on and make too much of.

At any rate, thanks for pointing out my oversight.

Jason
 
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neuroanatomist said:
Because we haven't seen it before. The unknown territory is the combination of high pixel density and the perpiphery of the image circle. If you look at lens performance and/or theoretical MTF curves, you notice that lenses perform best in the center of the image circle, and that's the part that we see with an EF lens and an APS-C sensor.

But that's why canon also updates the lens portfolio. The 70-200 f/2.8 IS II for example has extremely sharp corners. Higher MP cameras need better lenses. And canon is also interested in selling lenses ;-)
 
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dilbert said:
KyleSTL said:
vlim said:
... But a great lens, affordable and weather sealed that i can use for wildlife photography that's what i'm waiting for ! ...

I believe affordable is a dying breed. This is the same company that just released an $800 lens to replace a $270 lens; $850 for $360; and a $2300 for $1350. I think 'great' and 'affordable' are becoming mutually exclusive. While Nikon is updating their cheap primes with new cheap primes (35mm f/1.8G, 50mm f/1.8G), Canon adds unnecessary features and increases the price a couple fold.

If the exchange rate between the US dollar and the Japanese yen had of been the same today as it was when the 20-70/2.8 was originally launched then the new 24-70/2.8 II would be circa $1850.

Both the 24/2.8 and 28/2.8 introduce IS and USM to those lenses. That doesn't come for free - compare the price of the 70-200/4 USM ($640) with the 70-200/4 IS USM ($1160). $500 price difference. The comparable price for the 24/2.8 and 28/2.8 is ~$640 (instead of $800) and ~$680 (instead of $850) if the US dollar was strong. New features (IS and USM) do not come for free.

I wasn't trying to say they should be the same price, only that the increase in price is more than I would have anticipated.
 
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neuroanatomist said:
Because we haven't seen it before. The unknown territory is the combination of high pixel density and the perpiphery of the image circle. If you look at lens performance and/or theoretical MTF curves, you notice that lenses perform best in the center of the image circle, and that's the part that we see with an EF lens and an APS-C sensor.

That is very true. We have only seen the center 39% of the area (62% of the vertical and horizontal dimensions) at that density. I guess based on that we have seen, we have not hit the point of diminishing returns on resolution for that section. What remains to be seen is if the corners of the lenses are out-resolved by the sensor.
 
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Is anyone else as...

...completely unmoved by Canon's recent gear as I am?

For lenses, I'm interested in fast, low-CA lenses. And no, 2.8 isn't fast. 1.2 or 1.0 is fast.

For cameras, I'm interested in high ISO and low noise and more dynamic range. Not more pixels. 10...15mp is fine.

As for price, I'm interested in 5DmkII territory... $7000 is cause for hilarity, not purchase.

Seriously, it's been years since Canon released *anything* I actually wanted to go out and buy.

Half of every day is spent in the dark. Cameras and lenses that do poorly in the dark are of exactly zero interest, especially when we're talking the prices we do for EF/EOS.

I'm hoping for a 5DmkIII priced like the mkII that will add even more light-gathering capacity to my 85mm and 50mm f1.2 lenses. $3000 absolute tops.

The 5DmkII is *really* long in the tooth now. I like it, all right, but it's long past time it was retired for something better.

Better shots. In darker environments. That's the key. After all, a camera that can do that will do well in the daytime, too.
 
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Let me just say admin that I've followed your site for years. never cared for the forums but this time I will. I've heard you say many times before (pretty much every year for the last two years) that this would be a big lens years. never is. canon sticks to its schedule of updates and a couple of new things now and then. But this year is likely to be the typical thing as lenses go, because that's how it goes all the time. Lenses will come as they always do with a +- few variance at best. we're not going to get 10 lenses by july, period. we haven't even gotten stuff that was anounced last year!.

Second, new better lenses don't point to a huge MP body. it is just the logical progression of things. everybody else, nikon/sony/sigma whatever, put out new models with better optics all the time. If they weren't better, nobody would buy them considering they are always more expensive. This is just wishful thinking from people that wish canon to keep chasing the ever pointless MP crown.

Third, canon isn't going back and forth at this point like a panic grandmother. The D5III is already what it is likely just about to be made official with production and tooling already churning out parts. 22MP or 52MP, it is what it is and if it doesn't fit somebody's idea of perfect, then that's life.

All we're hearing is a reaction to Nikon's D800, and we always do, for nikon can't do anything without people freaking out why canon isn't doing the same and vice versa. I'm sure everybody is emailing you that a 50MP 3DX is inminent in just a few months....curiously just as the D800 makes a splash. Whereas before everybody was emailing you that a low MP 5D was on the wings because that's what nikon was supposed to have.

get it? it's all just the same trend. I enjoy educated guessing but let's keep things realistic.


KyleSTL said:
jwphotography said:
... The question is, how will the current line of lenses fare under 36+ MP scrutiny? ...

Have you seen images taken with good glass on a 7D? They are good, right? That is the same pixel density as a 46MP FF camera. A 37MP camera is equivalent to 16MP APS-C (D7000). Why is this still part of the conversation? The only APS-C/FF camera with a high density than the 7D is the Sony a77 at 24MP APS-C. Why does everyone think this is some unknown territory we have never seen before?

My 10MP XTi has a higher density sensor than the 5D Mark II, 1Dx, and D4 (would come out to be a 26.3MP FF). Can I still get pixel-level sharpness with excellent glass? The answer is yes.

EXACTLY. THANKS. Nikon/Canon/Sony don't need new lenses for 30MP+ full frame. Maybe if it was APSC and maybe if it was in the 40MP range. All this stuff about one lens indicating a huge MP jump is a bunch of wishful thinking. Surely edges in full frame cameras are going to come under scrutiny of the pixel peepers, but who cares. 36MP is only about a 20% linear increase over 20's so if the edges were good before, they will be good after. Sony, as other pointed out, has a 24MP APSC sensor which if sony wanted to, could be upsized to over 50MP. At that point *maybe* you'll start to worry. But 36MP is simply the next natural step.
22 is the new 12,
36 is the new 22.

Canon should not take the D800 lightly. It´s just one camera, but it could destroy the Canon sales if Canon fails to reply right now! Show who´s boss. I always think realistic! Right now Canon is in a lot of trouble.
I hate to break it to you but this is precisely what's wrong with the crowds. Canon doesnt' have to show anybody who's boss...because there is NO boss. In fact if you look at specifications, Nikon had both the highest MP pro level DSLR (D3x if you don't consider the A900 pro) and the highest ISO performing full frame camera. Did canon die? did they get destroyed? What about this, canon doesn't have the highest MP apsc body either. are they going to die?

let's cool off for a second, put fanboyism aside and think straight. people switch back and forth all the time. canon has a lead in some areas and lag in others. you can't expect, and you'll never see any one company be the top of everything. it may have happened in the film days but not these days.
 
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Maestro said:
I´m sorry if things i said was upsetting to some, the thing is that i´m a very realistic person. I´m not a certain brand fanatic, though Canon is my first choice. The Nikon D800 has the same AF and metering system as the D4. 36mp and probably the best video from a dslr today. I have no doubts in my mind that Canon can make a camera just as good. But they need to hurry, they have to give us something to look forward to, not today not tomorrow, but yesterday. The sad part is that i know for a fact that a lot of people selling their canon gear and the reason is "swithing system" that´s what it says in their ads. Many doubt that Canon can match the D800. As we speak more and more are having thoughts of going to the other side. Canon should not take the D800 lightly. It´s just one camera, but it could destroy the Canon sales if Canon fails to reply right now! Show who´s boss. I always think realistic! Right now Canon is in a lot of trouble.

I agree, Canon has to come out with a killer response to the D800 and D800e. I doubt that they have a very good response though; perhaps a reason for them delaying the release of a 5D III.

As for the new 24-70mm f/2.8 II: no IS is a real bummer and so is the stratospheric price! Did not see a need for the version 1, much less a need for version II. Damn dumb for Canon to put IS into consumer grade 28mm and 24mm primes.

The comment about the 50mm f/1.2L II possibility is just crazy. The 50mm f/1.2L is not that old and they could stand to improve quality control on it. Took me two tries to get a good one. Still not the best AF, but I can live with it.
 
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neuroanatomist said:
While I agree that we're not exactly lens resolution-limited, it should be noted that overall shaprness is a combination of multiple factors, and sharper lenses will yield increased overall sharpness.

KyleSTL said:
Have you seen images taken with good glass on a 7D? They are good, right? That is the same pixel density as a 46MP FF camera. Why does everyone think this is some unknown territory we have never seen before?

Because we haven't seen it before. The unknown territory is the combination of high pixel density and the perpiphery of the image circle. If you look at lens performance and/or theoretical MTF curves, you notice that lenses perform best in the center of the image circle, and that's the part that we see with an EF lens and an APS-C sensor.


Hi Neuro,

Do you think there's a case for making the image circle of L lenses larger and is this behind the front element getting wider on the new lenses (for a given max aperture)? Is this going to be where they find the FF lens quality, by forming the FF image using just the middle part of oversize lenses?

It's a formula that works splendidly in the TS/E lenses.

Is there a reason why this wouldn't work (other than needing some stupendous aspherical surfaces and heading towards Leica S2 territory).
 
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jasonsim said:
I agree, Canon has to come out with a killer response to the D800 and D800e. I doubt that they have a very good response though; perhaps a reason for them delaying the release of a 5D III.

Thought we should all take a walk down memory lane.

Does anyone remember the time when the Nikon D90 was announced? It was the first camera with video capabilities and everyone thought Canon was doomed. But several weeks later, the 5D2 was announced: FF camera with 1080p video capability. Then, as they say, the rest is history: nobody ever talked about the video capability of the D90 anymore, the 5D2 became a massive seller for Canon (surprising even Canon themselves) and every single Canon DSLR after the 5D2 was equipped 1080p video capability while Nikon had nothing to offer (with 1080p) until the D3100 was released...
 
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