Companies make these kind of business decisions all the time. Potential new products can be abandoned for many reasons. One reason is if the product has been overtaken by better technology, and another is shifting consumer demands.Reread my post then read my revised post.
It makes zero business sense to trash the R&D expense of the 1D Mark III a year later for a R1.
Canon has never done that in the past.Companies make these kind of business decisions all the time. Potential new products can be abandoned for many reasons. One reason is if the product has been overtaken by better technology, and another is shifting consumer demands.
If something happened (or not) in the past, doesn't tell us what will happen in the future.Canon has never done that in the past.
If something happend (or not) in the past, doesn't tell us what will happen in the future.
If the 'past' would tell us everything. Then we would never be surprised anymore in the future? Yet we are constantly being surprised by rare events or the info that we didn't know.
I know we are on a rumors forum where we try to speculate. You appear very confident too me with your statements (other comments on the forum as well). The danger about that I think is that in reality, how much puzzle pieces do you really have of the whole puzzle (all variables that effect on this)? In fact you don't know how many puzzle pieces realy exist. Just because you have a little bit of info doesn't mean you can predict the future.
To me, this seems like a much more logical argument than simply saying it hasn’t been four years since the 1D X Mark II was released....
We've seen no announcement. pre-announcement, teasers or leaks. Olympic level photographers need time to become familiar with the cameras (and that's for DSLRs where the basic controls and body types were familiar). Given that there are basically no major sporting events happening and it is already January, I don't see many Olympic photographers taking a chance on a completely new body style. I can't imagine anyone relying on it for the Olympics without having the opportunity to put it through the paces at other events. There is too much at risk. And, honestly, right now, what other events are there even being held for photographers to cover?
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Any new item from Sony, Canon, Nikon will be most welcome during / hopefully after wretched Covid-19 %%$%$ off.CanonWatch will have to update his article!
Most likely, Canon will be so busy trying to meet demand for the R5 and R6, that anything and everything else has to be put on hold...
...Users on CR are outliers. They will never represent the majority of 1-Series buyers.
Photonews agencies largely dictates what will be in the 1-Series bodies. If they wanted a MILC one would have been announced 52 weeks ago...
Some context to consider about 1-Series bodies.I think this may be where the flaw in our thinking is. I say "our" because I generally agree with you, but....
What if the target market for an R1 is not the target market for the 1Dx?
The professional 1Dx market is conservative. I don't see a lot of professional users of the 1 series clamoring for a new mirrorless body. But, as the market shrinks, Canon may be refocusing the R1 on enthusiasts, who are already probably a bigger market for the 1Dx than actual professionals.
The enthusiast market is a lot less price sensitive and much more willing to invest in the latest and greatest.
If that's the case, then the Olympics, whenever they occur, is not a venue for winning professional acceptance of the R1, it's a venue to market the R1 to enthusiasts. Release or announce the body this year and put it into the hands of cash-starved professional sports photographers to generate good reviews and photos Canon can use to sell the R1 to enthusiasts.
That would mean that CR users aren't outliers, they are actually the target market.
Just a thought.
Jan-Nov 2020 global DSC shipments | 45.4% is Canon | 1-Series Body make up 1% of all Canon ILCs | |
Total SLR/MILC | 4,789,371 | 2,155,217 | 21,552 |
At least I did not suffer having my R6 for only weeks before the R5S came blazing out of the gate (which I sort of hoped and feared at the same time). Seems the R6 and I are in for a steady relationship...
At least I did not suffer having my R6 for only weeks before the R5S came blazing out of the gate (which I sort of hoped and feared at the same time). Seems the R6 and I are in for a steady relationship...
5DS/R does 50 MPIX very nicely. 45 MPIX is just getting a mirrorless 5DS/R. R6 does mirrorless a lot cheaper and will be a better supplement to the R5S with it’s more light sensitive AF and better high ISO than the R5 - which I would never use after getting the R5S anyway. Here 90 MPIX will make a visible difference.If you wanted an R5s all along, why did you get an R6 instead of an R5?