dilbert said:
The 5D Mark 2 had approximately the same pixel density as the Canon 20D. The performance of the 5D Mark2's sensor was marginally better than the 20D in most tests, according to dxomark graphs.
Canon's next sensor with more MP was the 40D.
If you take the pixel density from the 40D and apply that to the 5D, you end up with about 28MP (allow for rounding error.)
The real question will be if the sensor performance of the 5D3 will be a "drop" from the 5D2 as the 40D was compared to the 20D. Or maybe Canon will have improved the sensor somewhat since then....
The way I read the graphs, it seems that the 5DII is much better than the 20D in every category. I prefer to use the individual graphs rather the DXO overall score, since they show the strong/weak aspects in the needed category within the ISO range.
Using the DXO overal score, it shows the 5DII is slightly better than 1 stop compared to 20D, while 40D is less than 1/3 stop better than the 20D.
SNR graphs shows (on my eyes) about 1 1/2 stop better for the 5DII compared to 20D.
The 20D and 40D are similar in SNR, DR and color sensitivity, with a slight edge for the 40D on low ISO, and a slight edge for the 20D on high ISO. The differences are so small, that I believe they are insignificant.
The difference from the 5DII and 5D is significant, therefore I expect a similar trend for the 5DIII.
If you consider the pressure from the other brands, with the D7000 and the K-5, sensor technology is improving at a very fast rate recently. I expect and hope a 5DIII with 28MP and 2/3 stop better overall noise and an improved DR, with a better AF (lots of pressure for a better AF too)
I would like to see other members interpretation related to the 5D series to stay in theme.